CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cc3893f29cb7b3da4f9970f7d1816d27f46dd5a636f0a1826a596c799cce28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Alliance, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Alliance | 31c | 19,999$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.65 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alliance | 18c | 11,628$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.55 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Alliance | 8c | 11,218$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.17 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 8,426$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.27 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Alliance | 28c | 7,332$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.67 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Alliance | 1c | 4,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Alliance | 47c | 4,244$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.24 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alliance | 45c | 4,141$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.18 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 4,093$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.74 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 3,745$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.94 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 3,070$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.05 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 2,792$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 2,748$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.96 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alliance | 17c | 2,618$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 2,489$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.55 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Alliance | 3c | 2,348$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Alliance | 27c | 2,158$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.24 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 2,143$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.32 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 2,082$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.07 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Alliance | 43c | 2,027$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.6 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Alliance | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Alliance | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Alliance | 32c | 1,790$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 1,372$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Alliance | 42c | 1,177$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.26 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…e622backed Alliance | 31c | 1,170$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 1,001$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.45 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Alliance | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Alliance | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Alliance | 45c | 887.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 79c | 852.91$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 830.9$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.65 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Alliance | 44c | 808.18$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.6 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 774.11$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Alliance | 3c | 760$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 755.74$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.92 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Alliance | 42c | 731.95$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 720$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Alliance | 29c | 690.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed Alliance | 15c | 689.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Alliance | 35c | 675.43$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Alliance | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Alliance | 10c | 574.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 569.6$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 527$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Alliance | 41c | 512.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 510.5$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 501.4$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.77 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 26c | 478.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 29c | 442.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 30c | 408.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Alliance | 45c | 393.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 393.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Alliance | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Alliance | 22c | 360.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Alliance | 42c | 353.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 349.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 330.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 329.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 296.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Alliance | 16c | 286.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Alliance | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Alliance | 35c | 278.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 139 | 38.1%53 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Alliance | 43c | 273.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Alliance | 37c | 271.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Alliance | 13c | 270.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Alliance | 20c | 260.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Alliance | 25c | 257.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Alliance | 44c | 251.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Alliance | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…8f9ebacked Alliance | 43c | 248.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 229.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Alliance | 44c | 221.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 217.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance | 14c | 211.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 208.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…5277backed Alliance | 19c | 207$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…6cb6backed Alliance | 25c | 206.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Alliance | 18c | 199.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Alliance | 26c | 196.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Alliance | 30c | 195.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Alliance | 25c | 194.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 188$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Alliance | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alliance | 23c | 178.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Alliance | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 171$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 169.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 164.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Alliance (+6.5)Alliance won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.