TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a96…4e13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
353
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT22358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 223 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$624.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$551.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$757.65
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$287.72
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.24
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.88
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.1
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$854.52
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.99
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.21
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$256.41
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$256.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$218.43
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440.45
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.74
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120.48
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.13
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.68
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$487.17
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$598.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.96
Showing 25 of 223 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT11558.3%67 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$1,680.41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,051.23
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$1,330
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.49
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,027Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,829.77
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,756.98
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,349.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$3,650
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.05
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.92
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,631.04
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$259.75
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.71
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$844.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$1,189.45
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$500
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$408.47
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$904Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$578.17
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,597.79
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,450
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$71.67
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.59
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$369.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$162.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$297
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.