NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b28a55447b6f863746e4f0b0b71e6061d4d665db9513f60a78e83b6430d6073

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Hawks, Heat
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,606,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,060,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,606,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Hawks	30c	592,893$179,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179,554.97	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Heat	79c	150,000$118,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,499.99	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	72c	138,786$100,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,200.27	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Heat	56c	118,999$66,579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,419.45	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…f80abacked Heat	67c	101,764$68,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,378.46	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed Heat	70c	94,606$66,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,168.89	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Heat	36c	87,827$31,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,844.95	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Heat	76c	81,627$62,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,502.32	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Heat	66c	67,100$44,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,026.59	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2904…ec3fbacked Hawks	18c	64,902$11,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,458.11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks	28c	63,415$17,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,528.94	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Heat	37c	56,896$21,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,677.5	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Heat	79c	51,530$40,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,674.96	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Heat	79c	49,370$39,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,367.7	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hawks	43c	47,945$20,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,616.31	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aaa…3b90backed Hawks	21c	36,122$7,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,585.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+258.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	66c	35,076$23,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,867.24	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Heat	61c	31,381$19,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,207.4	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	64c	28,467$18,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,248.21	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat	66c	27,686$18,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,450.31	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hawks	6c	27,610$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.2	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	66c	26,551$17,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,072.46	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Heat	46c	23,756$10,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,921.76	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Heat	67c	21,864$14,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,281.11	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	28c	21,785$6,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,093.69	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Heat	75c	21,574$16,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,349.87	221	59.7%132 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	67c	21,500$14,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,171.06	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Hawks	27c	21,261$5,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,775.96	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.30per pick	42cpaid	+71.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Heat	33c	20,091$6,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,461.29	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Hawks	55c	20,000$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,999.99	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Heat	72c	16,847$12,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,686.23	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Heat	53c	16,304$8,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,715.96	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks	8c	16,083$1,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.76	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Heat	74c	15,978$11,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,154.38	256	57%146 W · 110 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hawks	61c	15,938$9,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,679.65	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Heat	65c	15,088$9,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,298.62	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks	66c	15,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Heat	73c	14,781$10,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,919.64	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Hawks	23c	13,688$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100.33	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Heat	76c	12,866$9,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.31	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Heat	79c	12,499$9,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,624.73	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Heat	80c	12,344$9,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,468.77	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Heat	79c	11,849$9,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,488.25	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks	34c	11,405$3,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,832.24	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Heat	35c	10,924$3,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,152.14	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Hawks	33c	10,923$3,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,622.17	468	47.4%222 W · 246 L	-11.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Heat	63c	10,795$6,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,994.32	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Hawks	49c	10,661$5,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,246.11	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hawks	26c	10,423$2,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,754.65	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Heat	73c	9,928$7,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,680.69	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Hawks	35c	9,844$3,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,415.29	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks	42c	9,690$4,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,039.67	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Hawks	23c	9,384$2,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,165.39	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Heat	80c	8,898$7,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.65	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Heat	65c	8,746$5,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,061.1	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Hawks	34c	8,569$2,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,947.26	314	55.1%173 W · 141 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Hawks	27c	8,394$2,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,266.38	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	68c	8,392$5,692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.57	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Heat	79c	7,899$6,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.83	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Heat	74c	7,777$5,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,021.96	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Heat	63c	7,746$4,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,856.9	88	59.1%52 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Heat	76c	7,654$5,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,836.85	369	54.7%202 W · 167 L	+28.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks	28c	7,304$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.48	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Hawks	55c	7,292$4,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,010.75	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Heat	65c	7,012$4,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,454.06	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Heat	76c	6,667$5,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,605.64	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Hawks	37c	6,596$2,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,453.67	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Hawks	26c	6,453$1,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,654	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Heat	66c	6,420$4,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,173.25	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat	73c	6,371$4,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,712.91	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Heat	64c	6,329$4,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,278.57	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661a…e9e8backed Hawks	28c	6,253$1,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750.97	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	28cpaid	+214.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Hawks	11c	6,173$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693.84	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Hawks	37c	5,921$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Heat	64c	5,915$3,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,129.26	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hawks	50c	5,492$2,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,764.42	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hawks	0c	5,405$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79c9…7dd8backed Heat	74c	5,318$3,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Hawks	27c	5,315$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.18	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Heat	77c	5,096$3,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.97	345	54.8%189 W · 156 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Heat	73c	5,000$3,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Hawks	35c	4,991$1,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.07	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+38%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Hawks	36c	4,903$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,758.03	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Heat	61c	4,883$2,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,904.37	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Heat	63c	4,809$3,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,779.31	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks	30c	4,754$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.36	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Heat	74c	4,662$3,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.07	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Heat	79c	4,388$3,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.48	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hawks	33c	4,344$1,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,422.7	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffa…6db7backed Hawks	26c	4,253$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x093e…54c1backed Hawks	37c	4,161$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.52	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Hawks	31c	4,152$1,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.12	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hawks	44c	4,051$1,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764.24	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks	29c	4,043$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.31	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat	64c	4,000$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Hawks	26c	4,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Heat	74c	3,983$2,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.31	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e94…7f1ebacked Hawks	35c	3,981$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.8	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Heat	79c	3,958$3,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.5	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Hawks	46c	3,942$1,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.05	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Hawks vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 5.5No won
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Heat won
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Heat won
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Heat won
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event