TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2eed…85a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
632
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT31455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 314 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$623.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$750
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.22
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,916Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$509.25
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$118.91
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,217.64
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$978.37
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.63
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,815
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$99.82
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.75
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$374.33
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12,961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$6,123.54
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.22
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$551.32
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,668Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$3,272.39
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,541.49
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$172.93
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$957.68
Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$623.52
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150.4%+$10,251.53
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.46
Showing 25 of 314 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT11747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,444.75
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.9
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.97
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.02
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.5
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.38
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.24
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.1
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.71
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$430.86
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$447.26
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$349.76
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,913Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,912.66
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,573.78
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$774.55
Grambling State Tigers vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,503.43
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$505.54
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,994.2
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.7
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,097.38
UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$541.98
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-1.5)backed Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$495.63
Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$287.91
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$545.24
Omaha Mavericks vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$956.06
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-3.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$214.59
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$965.67
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$1,441.33
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$57.89
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$991.04
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,752.3
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230.35
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,169.02
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$2,982.39
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,672.6
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,747.2
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,047.78
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,126.8
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,998.08
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$699.3
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,215.84
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,856
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.32
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$870.36
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.82
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,745.39
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,644
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$814.2
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,030
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.68
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$540
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$549
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$1,721.44
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.99
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$891.8
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.95
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$94.95
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$743.97
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,638.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.38
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$686
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,573Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$552.5
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$430.99
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,053.49
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$959.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,055.2
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,314
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,775.89
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$575
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$1,732.17
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$389.6
Spread: Giants (-1.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,265
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$76.05
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$56.26
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$480
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+70.4%+$1,646.59
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,606
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,822Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+39.3%+$716.73
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$194.04
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.4
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,695.16
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$5,356.26
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,870.95
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.58
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$112.11
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$327.23
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$99.94
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$200.2
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.89
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$607.92
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,085
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$212.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+482.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,098
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$548.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+290.2%+$203.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.35
Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166.16
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,796Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+59%+$1,060.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$350.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.