TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over44c36,398$15,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,528.0315647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c9,161$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.828845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c7,616$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,267.573,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf310…76cbbacked Under56c5,775$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over45c4,481$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.613452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c3,625$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.761,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under56c2,225$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.224751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under56c2,120$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.183253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under57c1,600$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91217258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68412263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39912661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under57c592$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under56c550.95$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c520$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906631.8%21 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under56c492$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.019457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under56c477$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0413948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under56c459.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.1310655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c453$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c441.71$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.441,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under56c302.23$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.252763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17115060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17113158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under57c260$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under56c255.55$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under64c246.88$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1747240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c237$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.281,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under56c233.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.765664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11313461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under56c193.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4710755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c192.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c192.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under56c166.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.341361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under57c156$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9214660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under57c156$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9214459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over36c153$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under56c145$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.23246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under56c143.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3612849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under56c139.76$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over36c139.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6511244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Under56c137.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over42c116.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under56c116.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.276553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over53c106.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over49c100.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.519555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over42c97.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under55c85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.756065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.613560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under56c78.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.111,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c72.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over40c70.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under69c55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over41c54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3148344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c48.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9226345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7810950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa67…d948backed Under56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under56c44.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.846847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c42.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6624859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.527953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Under56c41.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under55c40.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.438868.2%60 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over44c38.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over57c38.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6318774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under56c38.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.424753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6681…abc8backed Under39c35.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over51c35.53$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4130957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under56c33.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.546958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c30.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.929654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.113557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over43c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.116853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under48c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under55c23.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.187037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c23.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0615458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under56c19.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under56c18.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65464.8%35 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under58c18.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8810848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.