TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fa1…6edb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,458
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 61 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT34851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 348 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.72
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$92.34
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.16
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.42
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$53.58
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.53
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.64
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.76
Colombia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.34
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$93.48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.64
Belgium leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.36
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$66.12
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$86.64
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.72
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$125.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$72.96
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$72.96
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.24
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.5
Showing 25 of 348 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)backed CA Mineiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Clube do Remo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed Cruzeiro EC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.59
Will CF América vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$17.4
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14854.1%80 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$71.76
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$68.64
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.92
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.28
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.84
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.16
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.12
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$65.52
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.47
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.88
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$63.96
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT14459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+141%+$23.4
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+60%+$15
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed Seattle Sounders FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$73.44
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.2
Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Hull City AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$324.48
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$218.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.52
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$449.28
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$123.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$324.48
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$418.08
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$280.8
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.28
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$118.56
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.04
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.81
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$140.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.96
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$156
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$124.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.32
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.76
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.84
Will Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$90.48
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.52
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$109.2
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$159.12
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT9256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Santa Clara vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)backed PEC Zwolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Eyüpspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)backed Eyüpspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Spread: PSV (-1.5)backed SBV Excelsior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.76
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.32
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.52
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.04
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)backed FC Viktoria Plzeň · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed FC St. Gallen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$54.4
Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.64
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$88.4
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.16
Ferencvárosi TC vs. FK Vojvodina Novi Sad: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.08
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.12
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$84.32
Will FC Milsami Orhei win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$47.6
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.64
Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)backed Glentoran FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.24
Will SK Torpedo Kutaisi win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)backed HNK Hajduk Split · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$67.26
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$80.93
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Glentoran FC vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$51.3
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Serie A — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.8
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$455.52
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.12
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$405.6
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.13
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$230.88
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$305.76
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$280.8
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.17
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$237.12
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.44
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$349.44
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$368.16
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$305.76
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.08
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$230.88
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$399.36
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$126
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$126
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$134.4
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$140
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$330.72
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.04
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.76
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.64
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$237.12
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$343.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.48
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.28
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.72
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.16
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$374.4
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$212.16
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.6
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$156.8
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.2
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$120.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.8
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$131.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.08
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$287.04
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.48
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$180.96
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.4
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$436.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$411.84
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.28
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$336.96
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$180.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.72
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.4
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$174.72
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$92.4
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$106.4
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.2
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)backed Tre Fiori FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$87.04
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$46.24
Spread: Sabah FK (-1.5)backed Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$84.32
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.6
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$41.04
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.68
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.62
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$33.06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$255.84
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$205.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$64.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$131.04
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$143.52
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$165
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$165
Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Sydney FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Melbourne Victory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
All 18 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.