Champions League · resolved market
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0338f44bd75f50f6f7a08fd6debe61d7f559c59ddc0fa6c63ddedf09a78f3eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 8,964$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.42 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 4,235$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 17c | 2,468$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 2,208$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 64c | 1,104$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.43 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 13c | 1,049$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 64c | 899.97$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 641.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 65c | 502.4$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 64c | 456$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 32c | 440.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 14c | 416.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 64c | 299.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 64c | 294$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 64c | 288$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 64c | 253.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 67c | 187.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 21c | 143.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 65c | 133.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 64c | 114$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 31c | 112.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 67c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 36c | 59.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 49.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Over | 70c | 45.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…9db6backed Over | 68c | 42.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 69c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 70c | 20.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Petrocub Hînceşti (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: FC Petrocub Hînceşti (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)FC Petrocub Hînceşti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.