Champions League · resolved market
FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84572e424c46156540ec5377063db6d57613cb1a6febe54999b4302fda769fbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 9,324$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.32 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 6,038$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.6 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…c9e9backed Over | 42c | 2,363$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 76c | 1,930$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.1 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 1,243$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.49 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 1,086$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 72c | 741.01$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 73c | 502.15$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 77c | 348.94$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 13c | 333$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 19c | 317.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Over | 4c | 312.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…2eb3backed Over | 42c | 226.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 27c | 193.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Over | 39c | 184.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…df2ebacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…359dbacked Over | 43c | 113.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Under | 61c | 111.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 40c | 98.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 73c | 84.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 60c | 79.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 37c | 78.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 69.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 59.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 20c | 56.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 52.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Over | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 59c | 47.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…4be5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…a5f9backed Over | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 63c | 29.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 78c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: FC Petrocub Hînceşti O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Petrocub Hînceşti (-1.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: FC Petrocub Hînceşti (-2.5)KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë won
- Spread: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)FC Petrocub Hînceşti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.