TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x056d…3b69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5715.8%9 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.93
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$551.18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$267.74
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.81
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.53
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.72
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+454.6%+$163.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$191.47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.93
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.01
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
England vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.77
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.39
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.82
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.67
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.45
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.61
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.52
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.05
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+688.7%+$264.26
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.11
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$622.92
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+661%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.37
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Wimbledon vs. Newport County AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 1 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viborg FF vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.