AI · resolved market
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3ae5d23882fb840762fd35de11fc31b0fbdc9e41e8666cdfae9d627f93f517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1d4…8df3backed No | 0c | 25,151$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…b042backed No | 41c | 21,904$8,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,980.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed No | 46c | 15,961$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 10c | 12,363$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed No | 6c | 10,904$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed No | 1c | 10,684$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 44c | 9,207$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.44 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 9,095$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 44c | 8,742$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 16c | 8,348$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.82 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee69…05d0backed Yes | 69c | 8,294$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…73babacked Yes | 72c | 7,383$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed No | 44c | 7,300$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…5996backed No | 16c | 7,176$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…ae1ebacked Yes | 53c | 6,256$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 23c | 6,136$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…6088backed Yes | 64c | 6,030$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 1c | 6,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 5,923$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.87 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 47c | 5,841$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 46c | 5,758$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 5,131$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.34 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 46c | 5,112$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 37c | 4,936$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,903$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…faacbacked Yes | 72c | 4,671$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…8f9bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,538$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…251ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,391$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a2…c88dbacked No | 2c | 4,157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 11c | 4,032$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.15 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…7fd1backed Yes | 52c | 3,786$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…c45ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,726$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 20c | 3,673$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 77c | 3,660$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.15 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 58c | 3,570$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…98bebacked Yes | 53c | 3,463$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 13c | 3,451$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…fb9ebacked No | 7c | 3,374$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…d285backed Yes | 77c | 3,294$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…434cbacked No | 5c | 3,278$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…6282backed Yes | 57c | 3,135$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…704cbacked Yes | 79c | 3,101$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…8f63backed Yes | 65c | 3,059$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…528cbacked Yes | 52c | 3,053$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…00b0backed No | 8c | 3,023$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24d…c330backed No | 1c | 3,011$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed No | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…4851backed Yes | 56c | 2,923$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d342backed Yes | 51c | 2,905$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed No | 42c | 2,897$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.46 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…1b5fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,879$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…e6ebbacked Yes | 55c | 2,813$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,753$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 1c | 2,736$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…296abacked No | 48c | 2,694$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…5af0backed Yes | 53c | 2,667$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 2,647$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.39 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…3f8abacked No | 33c | 2,586$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 68c | 2,485$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.6 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed Yes | 45c | 2,483$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 71c | 2,387$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…75bfbacked Yes | 57c | 2,379$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…86acbacked Yes | 57c | 2,305$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…dbbcbacked Yes | 54c | 2,199$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 74c | 2,196$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 22c | 2,189$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.91 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…a1c4backed No | 29c | 2,168$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 9c | 2,115$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 31c | 2,051$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…e6b0backed Yes | 57c | 2,015$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…0494backed No | 5c | 2,013$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…e808backed No | 33c | 1,941$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 69c | 1,890$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,879$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…be94backed Yes | 59c | 1,873$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Yes | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…1034backed Yes | 56c | 1,840$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 72c | 1,832$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.96 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 7c | 1,823$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 71c | 1,817$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 39c | 1,815$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,792$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.7 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…478dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,771$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 44c | 1,730$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.03 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 58c | 1,727$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.39 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…57ccbacked Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…fc4abacked No | 34c | 1,705$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…3b69backed Yes | 58c | 1,684$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked No | 16c | 1,658$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…06c1backed No | 3c | 1,596$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Yes | 67c | 1,583$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 3c | 1,549$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…8edcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,535$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,510$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 37c | 1,500$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.72 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 28c | 1,494$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…ab57backed Yes | 40c | 1,439$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,439$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Yes | 60c | 1,423$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 24c | 1,410$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.