TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc36a…be63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
444
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8860.2%53 W · 35 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.17
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.05
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+131.7%+$33.26
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.84
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$19.07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.36
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$59.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$703.9
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$350.5
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.49
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$71.62
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.9
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+546.1%+$213.08
Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.61
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.97
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.41
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$9.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.59
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+126.5%+$18.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$9.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Deniz Undav: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.07
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.4%+$21.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.5%+$7.08
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$10.25
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.38
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.6%+$26.58
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.8
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59%+$44.12
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49.48
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+114.6%+$26.7
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.95
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.7
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+151%+$59
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+203%+$46.9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+65.7%+$23.8
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.5%+$13.32
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.2%+$18
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.21
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.04
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$14.81
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
European Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.75
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+175.3%+$80.24
European Open: Eliot Spizzirri vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.12
Almaty Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Corentin Moutetbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.72
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.49
Almaty Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex Michelsenbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
European Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Almaty Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+140.5%+$20.09
European Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Almaty Open: Luciano Darderi vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.5
European Open: Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$22.09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+809.1%+$89
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.67
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.85
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+130.7%+$14.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.05
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.92
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.69
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$572.78
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.1%+$17.46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+109.8%+$31.4
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.8
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.4%+$23.04
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30.81
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50.6
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+45.6%+$16.17
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.3%+$27.1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.84
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66.9%+$72.5
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.4
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+43.9%+$7.73
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
VfB Stuttgart vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$20.29
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Plzen win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.4%+$26.61
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+62.6%+$30.8
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+39.5%+$32.55
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+166.9%+$61.28
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.22
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+231.1%+$69.8
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$32.62
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$32.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+239.5%+$71.86
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.35
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$82.16
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+115.9%+$23.62
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$504.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.41
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$21.67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$118.21
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$36.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.9
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.65
Will Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.15
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+165%+$62.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+64.8%+$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.