Token Launches · resolved market
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155de146c940c946e9fc722881bf36506a3dfc109cc072dd9436d278d5ce17b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1635…5624backed No | 47c | 16,623$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,822.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed Yes | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked No | 80c | 11,851$9,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.8 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +10.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…862bbacked No | 70c | 7,339$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 31c | 6,100$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.03 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked Yes | 0c | 5,861$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 5,340$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.14 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…cfa6backed Yes | 7c | 5,017$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked Yes | 30c | 3,453$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,688$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…637cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,614$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 32c | 2,407$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 48c | 1,987$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…b8cabacked Yes | 19c | 1,892$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 48c | 1,700$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.17 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 69c | 1,483$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.17 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes | 27c | 1,451$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,434$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 43c | 1,414$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…874dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 52c | 1,342$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.93 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…0409backed Yes | 45c | 1,215$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 70c | 1,185$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.71 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,016$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…afc4backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 25c | 999.97$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 71c | 940$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 24c | 786.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…c464backed No | 77c | 778.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 19c | 745.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 17c | 734.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 685$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 2c | 619.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 21cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 591.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…c2cbbacked Yes | 11c | 547.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 32c | 511$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 35c | 490.63$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 76c | 487.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 20c | 458.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Yes | 11c | 450$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 18c | 411.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…0e5abacked No | 62c | 340.38$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 44c | 316.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 6c | 279.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…9cb9backed No | 72c | 276.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 15c | 250.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…7c51backed Yes | 15c | 233.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 230.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 13c | 230.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 20c | 185.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…6c51backed Yes | 32c | 177$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…66b2backed Yes | 40c | 174.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…086cbacked No | 72c | 139.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 75c | 137.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Yes | 13c | 134.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…9678backed Yes | 30c | 131.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 57c | 126.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked Yes | 41c | 112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be3…df5ebacked Yes | 10c | 102.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…4c1dbacked Yes | 33c | 100.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fde…ec1dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…5a7fbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…0f4abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…9db9backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bf…5b94backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…354ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4e…0dfbbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 49c | 98.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 49c | 98.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 30c | 80.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 24c | 80.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…4d41backed Yes | 26c | 75.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…01b9backed Yes | 26c | 73.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 32c | 71.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…ca6fbacked Yes | 35c | 71.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…bf4ebacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 34c | 69.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed No | 47c | 59.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…5879backed Yes | 52c | 58.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 80c | 57.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed No | 58c | 51.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78d…f4c6backed Yes | 44c | 49.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…e328backed Yes | 53c | 46.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…ba3bbacked Yes | 52c | 46.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…0d89backed Yes | 60c | 44.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked No | 79c | 44.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…47b4backed Yes | 52c | 43.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…e8cabacked Yes | 59c | 43.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…0b43backed Yes | 52c | 43.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 65c | 43.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…0ee6backed Yes | 53c | 43.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $12M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $16M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $18M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
- Over $8M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.