TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69a0…e5f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 59 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$256.87
Over $4M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+346%+$518.96
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+60%+$124.24
Over $1.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $1.25M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $1M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$51.68
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$266.28
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$296.56
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$357.71
Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$138.25
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.22
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,029Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$4,996.94
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$4,901.05
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$915.33
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$671.38
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$82.97
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$393.72
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$99.86
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.7%+$133.74
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$525
Will the method of victory for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain Win: Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.83
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,684.77
Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.03
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$369.86
Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+160.3%+$126.61
UEFA Nations League Final: Will Ronaldo score 1+ goals against Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$39.21
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$143.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.