Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4795571ed1c6992ca07b6d34853d07d07ef4977b892660b4205cd2f3752c4826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $862,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,006 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf212…622bbacked Yes | 0c | 172,834$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 35c | 46,000$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,679.77 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 37c | 24,391$8,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,460.17 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 64c | 24,369$15,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,522.9 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 60c | 22,140$13,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,210.39 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 51c | 21,416$10,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,977.99 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 33c | 20,567$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,816.73 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…df75backed Yes | 0c | 19,049$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 65c | 18,363$11,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,948.05 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 18,227$9,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,558.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 41c | 16,675$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,760.99 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 38c | 16,094$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,034.48 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 15,271$7,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,542.03 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…304bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,933$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 45c | 10,263$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,636.9 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 53c | 9,779$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 58c | 9,138$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.1 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 37c | 8,880$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.71 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 49c | 8,854$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.75 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 55c | 8,468$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.61 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yes | 63c | 8,409$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 36c | 7,031$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 53c | 6,823$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.64 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 65c | 6,666$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.09 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 38c | 6,296$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.71 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 64c | 6,050$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 66c | 5,970$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.29 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed No | 37c | 5,500$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…3e61backed Yes | 70c | 5,484$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 47c | 5,339$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.94 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.92 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 55c | 4,526$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.39 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…8427backed Yes | 64c | 4,375$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 48c | 4,241$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.9 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 4,066$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.86 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Yes | 51c | 3,991$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 41c | 3,823$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.65 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 46c | 3,780$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.07 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 50c | 3,759$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.11 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 69c | 3,667$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.49 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 50c | 3,526$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.34 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…0a71backed No | 47c | 3,482$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 59c | 3,476$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.47 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 56c | 3,407$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.04 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,298$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,267$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.57 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 3,236$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.1 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 38c | 3,200$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 57c | 3,176$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…2675backed Yes | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 67c | 3,100$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…8ac5backed Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 43c | 2,999$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.23 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed No | 55c | 2,948$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.6 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 46c | 2,806$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.05 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 2,775$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.08 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…a5cfbacked Yes | 63c | 2,754$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 44c | 2,708$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.11 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 30c | 2,705$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.79 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcc…a7eebacked Yes | 59c | 2,641$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 67c | 2,611$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.66 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 52c | 2,576$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.71 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 63c | 2,551$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.38 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 2,524$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.29 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 17c | 2,474$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.45 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 56c | 2,449$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 44c | 2,385$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.41 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 43c | 2,378$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.28 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,322$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.86 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 70c | 2,155$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 2,113$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.42 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 49c | 2,087$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.6 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 38c | 2,075$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.48 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed No | 38c | 2,059$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.03 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…9732backed Yes | 49c | 2,057$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Yes | 47c | 2,020$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.78 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…0804backed Yes | 63c | 1,855$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.2 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 53c | 1,714$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 35c | 1,678$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.02 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed No | 39c | 1,627$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.46 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed Yes | 44c | 1,625$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.88 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…7849backed No | 35c | 1,624$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes | 62c | 1,610$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.2 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 66c | 1,555$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.29 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 32c | 1,538$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.66 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked No | 35c | 1,511$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 68c | 1,465$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 44c | 1,461$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.74 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 64c | 1,450$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 57c | 1,415$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.85 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 34c | 1,392$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.63 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 63c | 1,300$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.09 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.