TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa94f…6d6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,881.91
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.22
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,431
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.65
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$193.93
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,158.39
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$973.57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,232Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,516.47
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$248.21
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,155
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$776.54
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$5,005.35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,651
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,762.35
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$1,768.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,905Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$3,868.58
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76%+$3,019.61
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$2,164.1
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+326.8%+$10,472.15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,985
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$2,504.98
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$194.02
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,812Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$2,734.89
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$476.56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+182.6%+$3,830.73
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$998
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$4,374
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$500.2
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$958
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$327.67
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,086.36
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$373.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$919.35
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61%+$1,503.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,345
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+224.2%+$1,951.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,074
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,000.34
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,037.22
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$441.18
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$533.41
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$668.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$2,988.77
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$308.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,560
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$3,714.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$11,481.01
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$385.78
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$1,270.96
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$331.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,248.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$3,502.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$516.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,318
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.