TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$442,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Under60c170,016$101,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,648.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over40c73,759$29,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,503.61952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3e…ebb5backed Over40c45,619$18,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,247.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c38,664$14,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,813.441,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Over38c25,676$9,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,757.051346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over38c13,821$5,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2526657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over39c10,445$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.595957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over39c9,022$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.838243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c7,707$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.818223.2%19 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under61c6,992$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over40c5,810$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.8113843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over39c5,747$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,241.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c5,284$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.564513.3%6 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over38c5,233$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.535944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Under61c4,863$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.631838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over42c4,596$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.415252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Over40c4,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over40c3,811$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.610852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over38c3,712$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.4613548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c3,708$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.371,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over39c3,609$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.335552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over39c3,372$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.0410742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c3,310$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.0243252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over40c3,124$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.785263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Over38c3,096$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over40c3,025$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over40c3,007$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.043762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c2,748$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.8963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over40c2,590$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.2891537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Under58c2,587$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.361747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over39c2,470$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over10c2,210$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed6…b0b3backed Under59c2,210$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f55…92c3backed Over39c2,175$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Under60c2,018$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over42c2,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82070%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.995630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under60c1,952$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.84344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over40c1,915$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.811216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-54.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over41c1,765$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.435362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over39c1,748$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.1110648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over39c1,732$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.518853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under54c1,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.9921938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Over40c1,600$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e9…ce05backed Under56c1,583$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over39c1,510$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed Over39c1,510$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.081450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6153956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over41c1,486$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.78259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over23c1,485$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.46160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over39c1,482$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over39c1,445$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.594334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d56…046fbacked Over40c1,370$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c1,301$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9223637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over37c1,275$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.414850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c1,273$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.446741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed Over39c1,235$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over39c1,235$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.686352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over39c1,231$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.32871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.37058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over38c1,131$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over39c1,122$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ce…5cf3backed Over46c1,051$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over28c1,033$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.766157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Over42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af9…2ad5backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41050247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Under61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over39c990.57$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.325339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Over42c990$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over41c941.07$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.847652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over33c904.65$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.051,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over47c824$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.283040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over38c813.31$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.062528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over39c794.81$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over39c787.52$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.132665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over27c747.13$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over39c741.08$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.024259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over41c699.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under60c691.49$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5929746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over41c684.31$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.573658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over40c629.49$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Over39c617.56$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.85812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over39c617.56$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.854042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over40c607.08$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8965050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22813349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over41c588.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.154465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under59c585.24$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.952969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over41c585$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8560748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over43c561.51$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.454759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Under77c550$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.55856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under62c548.39$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.