TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under76c9,983$7,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.99862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over18c6,496$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.812128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c3,736$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.241,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c1,814$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.04160%0 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over22c1,295$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-79%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f59…a2cbbacked Under79c1,203$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+171.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over20c1,192$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3210742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under80c926.25$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+27.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Under79c861.24$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over17c750$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under78c666$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5218950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over24c573.28$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5910852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over24c573.28$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.596352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over25c573$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.254759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked Over23c572.28$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over24c546.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.138644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under77c538.7$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.929445.9%135 W · 159 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over16c530.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.197334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over23c499.95$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.483672.2%26 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under76c453.06$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.242969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under76c437.26$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.272272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over24c436.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.838853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over24c436.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.833762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under75c435.52$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.835860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over23c423.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.354548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over24c409.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.375550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under79c394.96$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c392.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8399435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4f…628ebacked Under80c364.29$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.651369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd186…ed6ebacked Over19c357.49$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.77616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Over21c321.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.472626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over22c317.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.835123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over23c299.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9922647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over13c296.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8624340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over24c287.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.18259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over8c278.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.634812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c265$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9563150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over14c264.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.226056.7%34 W · 26 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over24c262.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.924459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102520%5 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over24c230.69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.362846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over24c226.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.254250%21 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Over24c226.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.252850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over24c219.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.725263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under79c217.59$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.698243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over24c211.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.654463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over10c208.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.235036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under80c200.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over25c198.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6610339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under77c184.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0239842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over21c179.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.823947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under77c158.75$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5117045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over22c157$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.542025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Under77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.465655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under79c125.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.345653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under79c125.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.343663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Under76c122.41$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.382128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over22c122.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.862646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over24c106.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6210648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over25c105.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.386253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…e809backed Under77c104.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.15875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under77c102.46$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1034…ae8ebacked Over16c99.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881e…70f8backed Under77c98.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Under76c98.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.655747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Over25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Over25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.882045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.055251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59bb…6325backed Over24c81.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over24c80.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b2…e004backed Under80c80.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Under77c76.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Under78c66.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over23c62.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.319924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352630.8%8 W · 18 L-8.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under78c59.56$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.142871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over19c57.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.031717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over25c57.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.336950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Under77c57.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Under77c51.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over22c47.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4911360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over36c45.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under77c44.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67e…0e52backed Under80c44.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.894100%4 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae9d…abe7backed Under79c39.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked Under77c38.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2134…0734backed Over30c34.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.542352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f20…2e89backed Under77c29.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.781040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under79c26.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.572470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617d…90cfbacked Under77c25.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.891070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under79c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.289953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under67c20.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.929149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Under78c20.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under57c19.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.18742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Under77c17.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2598…17dfbacked Under78c17.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.