TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3f2…fe1b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.14
Bucks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$14.5
Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneylinebacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$96.73
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57.56
Knicks vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.9%+$38.19
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Pelicans vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Heat vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$46.12
Celtics vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$163.78
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+89%+$63.16
Magic vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$18.31
All 19 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$90.36
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$46.42
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$22.93
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+68.9%+$248.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$48.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$8.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.