NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae77a1fde03bf8467e570ead294428936f481a060102cf43c57b651526025e2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,071,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,124,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,071,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 35c | 249,326$87,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,293.24 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Lakers | 68c | 219,793$149,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,699.48 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Magic | 31c | 91,149$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,649.36 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Magic | 31c | 74,617$23,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,580.33 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Magic | 33c | 68,929$22,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,243.22 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Magic | 31c | 67,674$20,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,695.26 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 66c | 67,158$44,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,122.61 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 70c | 52,027$36,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,230.24 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 69c | 48,000$33,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,120 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272a…88cfbacked Lakers | 0c | 44,810$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lakers | 65c | 44,092$28,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,568.58 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Lakers | 69c | 40,503$27,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,946.9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 30c | 40,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 68c | 37,445$25,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,584.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 71c | 30,872$22,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,068.94 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 27c | 26,755$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,570.82 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 32c | 26,711$8,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,095.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers | 64c | 24,986$15,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,991.16 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 60c | 23,315$14,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,015.12 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Magic | 30c | 22,163$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,442.09 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 68c | 19,156$13,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,026.14 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Lakers | 70c | 19,006$13,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,304.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lakers | 65c | 18,050$11,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,732.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Lakers | 65c | 16,401$10,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,660.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Magic | 35c | 16,400$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,660 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 32c | 15,529$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,611.62 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 33c | 15,472$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,410.42 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Lakers | 70c | 15,100$10,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,570 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Lakers | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750.31 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Magic | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Magic | 32c | 14,623$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.64 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Lakers | 69c | 14,316$9,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,877.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 66c | 13,318$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.95 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Magic | 36c | 13,015$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,329.8 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Magic | 28c | 12,770$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,181.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Lakers | 70c | 12,704$8,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,892.72 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers | 65c | 11,255$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.42 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Lakers | 67c | 10,500$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 73c | 10,425$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Magic | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 31c | 9,805$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,781.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 24c | 9,449$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.11 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 31c | 9,448$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.85 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…a72fbacked Lakers | 65c | 9,030$5,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,869.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Magic | 32c | 9,021$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.36 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Lakers | 67c | 8,962$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.67 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Lakers | 53c | 8,408$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Lakers | 70c | 8,233$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,780.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Magic | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Lakers | 65c | 7,555$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910.55 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic | 48c | 7,270$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.2 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 36c | 7,150$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.19 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Magic | 44c | 7,085$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.81 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 44c | 6,999$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lakers | 58c | 6,953$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 29c | 6,908$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Lakers | 77c | 6,623$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.7 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 66c | 6,357$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 67c | 6,276$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lakers | 51c | 6,147$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.36 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…a992backed Lakers | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Magic | 28c | 5,876$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.61 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 68c | 5,867$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.83 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Lakers | 65c | 5,815$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.98 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers | 63c | 5,628$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.58 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…4b6dbacked Magic | 35c | 5,603$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Lakers | 69c | 5,558$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Magic | 34c | 5,419$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.42 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…6056backed Lakers | 72c | 5,122$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 32c | 5,050$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Lakers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Lakers | 67c | 4,939$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.23 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Magic | 23c | 4,936$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.82 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Lakers | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Lakers | 71c | 4,580$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.17 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 38c | 4,552$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 35c | 4,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 65c | 4,482$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 24c | 4,367$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.66 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 56c | 4,122$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…bd44backed Magic | 35c | 4,002$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lakers | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…0d81backed Lakers | 65c | 3,998$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic | 42c | 3,993$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.68 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 18c | 3,980$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.27 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 35c | 3,760$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.83 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Magic | 29c | 3,600$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.98 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 31c | 3,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Lakers | 66c | 3,483$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eaf9backed Magic | 35c | 3,421$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 59c | 3,410$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 35c | 3,363$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.46 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Magic | 30c | 3,344$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.51 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Lakers | 62c | 3,251$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Magic | 41c | 3,211$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.36 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Magic | 33c | 3,169$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.27 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.