TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked No62c1,909$1,178 inWon+$730.571,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f59…21cbbacked Yes35c642.86$225 inLost-$2251717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No66c533.63$352 inWon+$182.111,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes34c500$170 inLost-$1704637%17 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes40c448$179 inLost-$178.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b0…537abacked Yes38c446.99$170 inLost-$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Yes40c298.84$119 inLost-$119.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c223.8$140 inWon+$84.254,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e6…afa2backed Yes40c219.2$87 inLost-$86.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Yes39c172$68 inLost-$67.635837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…6179backed Yes40c138$55 inLost-$55.23732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1078…b0a2backed Yes35c115.74$40 inLost-$405433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost-$35.213151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No65c100$65 inWon+$3552146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No62c75.51$47 inWon+$28.9383158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No62c65$40 inWon+$24.6892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed No65c50$33 inWon+$17.521672.2%156 W · 60 L+28.6wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No65c50$33 inWon+$17.522774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No61c37$23 inWon+$14.2960267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked No65c30$20 inWon+$10.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No61c19.78$12 inWon+$7.7765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.