NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec575e4bb5bff33fc46a1c399effcc709caf2f8e9d67175bcc42fc88f91454a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Lakers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa50e…9791backed Lakers | 57c | 26,372$14,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,992.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 46c | 23,455$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,665.6 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 44c | 19,932$8,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,252.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Lakers | 54c | 7,863$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.02 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Lakers | 54c | 4,616$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.64 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lakers | 54c | 4,470$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Lakers | 54c | 3,226$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.27 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 44c | 3,125$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,874$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.17 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 40c | 2,323$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 46c | 2,103$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers | 54c | 2,072$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.36 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Magic | 46c | 1,717$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.39 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 44c | 1,626$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.85 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Magic | 41c | 1,513$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.23 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,105$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.09 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 41c | 1,031$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Magic | 47c | 682.98$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.98 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 54c | 658.21$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lakers | 54c | 650.89$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Lakers | 53c | 640$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Lakers | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Magic | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 45c | 456.91$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Lakers | 58c | 450.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Magic | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 55c | 423.64$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lakers | 53c | 401.33$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.7 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Lakers | 54c | 389.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Lakers | 54c | 327.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Magic | 43c | 306.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Magic | 70c | 284.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 49c | 277.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 23c | 266.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Lakers | 47c | 212.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Magic | 47c | 209.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Lakers | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 44c | 186.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Lakers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers | 54c | 183.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 57c | 175.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 59c | 169.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Magic | 41c | 169$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724a…e2c0backed Magic | 80c | 162.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Lakers | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lakers | 22c | 153.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Magic | 46c | 146.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Magic | 42c | 134.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers | 57c | 116.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Magic | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 42c | 105.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Magic | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Lakers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 69c | 97.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Magic | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 63c | 95.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Lakers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Magic | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Lakers | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Lakers | 58c | 88.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 24c | 86.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…96ecbacked Magic | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lakers | 60c | 82.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lakers | 65c | 72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic | 43c | 71.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Magic | 43c | 68.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Lakers | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked Lakers | 59c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Lakers | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Magic | 47c | 66.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Magic | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Magic | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…5eb1backed Magic | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 47c | 59.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…76bbbacked Lakers | 64c | 54.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 34c | 54.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 36c | 53.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Lakers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 46c | 49.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lakers | 36c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Lakers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Magic | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Magic | 47c | 40.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Magic | 47c | 40.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…c369backed Magic | 63c | 39.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed Magic | 31c | 38.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Lakers | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Magic | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Magic | 58c | 33.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Magic | 44c | 32.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Magic | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Lakers | 53c | 30.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Lakers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Magic | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Magic won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Magic vs. LakersMagic won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.