TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64db…325b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,437
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1,259 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$311.1
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$46.56
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$338.3
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.6
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$209.1
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$213.2
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$215.52
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$200.79
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.4
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202.7
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$202.7
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$198.85
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$245.99
Showing 25 of 1,259 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11239.3%44 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.88
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$91.45
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$168.66
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Spread: Seattle Storm (-2.5)backed Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$172.8
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.8
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.58
Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire: O/U 187.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 188.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.3
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.69
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.99
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$147.48
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.2
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire: O/U 188.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$161.2
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$125
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.