NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e477472d3475c7a161371dbc2cbf81458167502f3168fa9eaa5e1c33438f51

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved: Apr 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $812,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $830,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,669 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	49c	179,368$87,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87,804.58	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Raptors	50c	174,886$87,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,443.04	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers	50c	145,299$72,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,196.53	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	49c	68,370$33,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,868.66	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers	50c	68,209$34,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,380.38	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Cavaliers	51c	64,443$32,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,865.92	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors	54c	60,000$32,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,599.98	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Cavaliers	49c	45,830$22,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,443.29	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Raptors	49c	40,622$19,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,716.97	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Raptors	50c	40,260$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,259.52	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Raptors	51c	39,998$20,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,598.99	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Raptors	48c	35,102$16,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,253.08	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Raptors	51c	23,847$12,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,685.06	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Raptors	53c	21,000$11,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,889.99	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors	52c	20,255$10,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,722.34	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cavaliers	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,200	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers	44c	19,746$8,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,604.36	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors	51c	18,577$9,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,106.6	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,800	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Cavaliers	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,500	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Raptors	51c	14,704$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,204.29	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed Cavaliers	50c	13,361$6,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,698.1	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers	42c	13,175$5,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,596.18	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Raptors	53c	12,222$6,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,744.34	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Cavaliers	49c	11,716$5,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,741.1	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Cavaliers	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Cavaliers	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Raptors	51c	9,030$4,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,424.93	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers	52c	8,300$4,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,316	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers	50c	7,975$3,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,968.15	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Raptors	51c	7,845$4,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,844.05	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	46c	7,592$3,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,492.32	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers	46c	7,500$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,450	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	43c	7,006$3,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,002.53	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Raptors	51c	6,869$3,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,365.63	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Raptors	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,882.35	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Raptors	51c	5,832$2,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,857.64	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Raptors	51c	5,294$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,594.12	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Raptors	52c	5,157$2,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,475.19	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Cavaliers	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	50c	4,198$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,093.99	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Cavaliers	49c	4,100$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Raptors	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Raptors	51c	3,843$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.14	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors	63c	3,805$2,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,394.92	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Cavaliers	52c	3,781$1,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,966	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers	47c	3,654$1,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.27	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Cavaliers	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Raptors	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.18	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Raptors	51c	2,745$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,345.1	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Raptors	51c	2,639$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.22	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Cavaliers	50c	2,600$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.97	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Raptors	50c	2,531$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.56	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Raptors	51c	2,222$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,088.78	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Cavaliers	32c	2,180$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.21	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020.14	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raptors	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Raptors	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.99	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Raptors	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Raptors	60c	1,856$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.2	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Cavaliers	65c	1,809$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.55	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,731$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Cavaliers	52c	1,346$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Raptors	50c	1,320$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.86	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Raptors	51c	1,245$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.21	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…da7fbacked Raptors	49c	1,155$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.08	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	49c	1,073$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.24	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Raptors	52c	1,005$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers	51c	1,003$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.17	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,001$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.81	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Cavaliers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Cavaliers	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers	47c	995$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.65	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cavaliers	22c	983.23$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.92	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Cavaliers	45c	979.69$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.09	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers	46c	833.02$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.49	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Raptors	61c	813.89$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.89	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers	50c	808.99$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.09	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Raptors	51c	801.69$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.99	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Raptors	79c	759.49$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.49	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Cavaliers	47c	724.21$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.23	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers	50c	705.2$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.34	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Cavaliers	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Cavaliers	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Raptors	49c	699.99$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Cavaliers	52c	673.08$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.36per pick	50cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Raptors	51c	633$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.17	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Raptors	64c	625.79$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.79	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Raptors	49c	621.5$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.97	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers	50c	610$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	50c	608.15$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.08	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed Raptors	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Cavaliers	48c	581$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.88	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Cavaliers	46c	535.11$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.15	185	57.3%106 W · 79 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 18.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 254.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 256.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 259.5Under won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event