TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c15,031$7,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,144.191,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c12,590$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,043.3769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c10,633$5,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,997.441,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c4…54a3backed Under47c9,123$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,28810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under23c5,313$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Under46c3,879$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+486.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.155561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc830…8aa4backed Under48c3,590$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under41c3,201$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over54c3,130$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.810645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under44c2,995$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.6165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over52c2,832$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.435550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8608451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c1,864$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.0266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c1,587$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.2392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Under43c1,574$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.931553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9979650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under45c1,486$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.8244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under45c1,395$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.2549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c1,290$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd116…4317backed Under1c1,222$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,200$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.971,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47330448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51745146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over77c953$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9a…58fcbacked Under46c868.2$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+848.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over52c807.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.695453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c738.08$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.281,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over52c711.54$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.546448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under48c698.5$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2810539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c626.15$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.031,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Over60c585.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.386261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c528.85$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over54c521.8$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.038556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c488.37$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under24c447.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.873,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over59c422.03$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0315846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c359.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under7c308.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Under46c261.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over55c250.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over57c243.76$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8217553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c199.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.851,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc980…0a06backed Under11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514238%54 W · 88 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1525360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over71c93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9755846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc5…838abacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbdb…3e20backed Over57c71.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over54c63.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8415650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Under43c60.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.044247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over54c55.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over54c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.383551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over50c43.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Over53c42.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.153145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under50c42.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0920146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.833556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over52c41.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.079652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over56c35.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.822453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c35.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2917043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over54c30.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8110148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e74…1823backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under44c28.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Over58c26.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0913852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.530256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ad…9a2bbacked Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedaf…5e45backed Over61c24.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.