TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cbb…5503

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT9653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$347
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$148.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$56.22
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$72.47
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$64.7
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$72.17
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$108.09
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$120.82
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$108.24
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Asian League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$74.23
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Shenhua FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$103.18
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.49
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$37.93
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.94
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$60.16
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$159.99
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+252.3%+$73.17
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$40.55
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$28.56
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$66.59
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.95
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$63.55
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$80.22
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$48.49
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.46
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$34.15
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$24.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$82.91
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.