NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x341864fbafda28ce58a7dbdbbd6fb010dc4503d8d1a0422b7915d47cc8fcb263

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $492,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $488,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	46c	176,463$81,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,275.54	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	54c	175,000$94,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,499.99	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Pistons	53c	122,321$64,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,829.97	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers	47c	106,102$49,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,233.92	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	47c	71,682$33,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,016.38	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	53c	64,998$34,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,449.06	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	47c	64,061$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,061.05	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons	53c	16,019$8,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,509.71	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Cavaliers	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers	45c	6,500$2,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,574.99	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers	46c	6,176$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,335.65	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,240	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Pistons	53c	5,546$2,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.24	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a9…4090backed Pistons	54c	5,468$2,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952.45	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Pistons	53c	4,528$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	9c	4,438$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.52	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pistons	53c	4,245$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.93	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Pistons	53c	4,081$2,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,163.1	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	53c	3,457$1,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,832.03	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Pistons	54c	3,400$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Pistons	53c	3,132$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.84	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	52c	2,653$1,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,391.08	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Pistons	38c	2,529$951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.03	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd90…2541backed Pistons	55c	2,182$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.4wins	-0.42per pick	55cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Pistons	55c	2,182$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	46c	2,046$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.18	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Pistons	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Pistons	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Pistons	54c	1,848$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Pistons	53c	1,442$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.4	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Cavaliers	45c	1,239$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.42	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Pistons	55c	1,222$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Pistons	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pistons	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…00bcbacked Pistons	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers	47c	999.99$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	53c	925.39$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.83	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Pistons	53c	800$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Pistons	54c	770.37$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons	53c	764.56$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.76	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Pistons	54c	648.15$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Pistons	55c	636.36$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers	46c	615.21$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.91	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers	47c	608.15$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.19	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons	27c	575.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.78	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…6622backed Pistons	53c	549.99$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Pistons	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Pistons	10c	537.2$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.75	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Pistons	53c	492.89$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.23	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Pistons	53c	483.02$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-13.0wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Pistons	54c	462.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Cavaliers	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Cavaliers	47c	380.53$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.68	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1907…3413backed Pistons	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Pistons	54c	366.67$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Pistons	54c	356.3$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.6	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed35…bd18backed Pistons	53c	355.79$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Cavaliers	45c	350$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.5	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Pistons	53c	345.28$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons	14c	343$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons	14c	340.93$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.08	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Pistons	54c	336.98$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.97	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers	46c	334.62$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.69	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	51c	305.77$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.82	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed Cavaliers	49c	301.69$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.86	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Cavaliers	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	305	44.6%136 W · 169 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Pistons	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.3wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Pistons	53c	263$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Cavaliers	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	209	51.7%108 W · 101 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Cavaliers	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Pistons	12c	203.9$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Pistons	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	135	51.1%69 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Pistons	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Pistons	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons	54c	197.71$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.9	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x816e…8263backed Pistons	53c	189.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.39	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e86…6b0fbacked Pistons	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc83…ee1ebacked Pistons	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Cavaliers	48c	187.5$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	178	48.3%86 W · 92 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Pistons	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers	46c	173.02$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.15	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed Pistons	53c	169$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Pistons	53c	166.45$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.22	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Pistons	14c	166$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Pistons	53c	164.15$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…2a69backed Pistons	53c	161.42$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.55	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Cavaliers	62c	159.47$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.6	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Cavaliers	46c	155.76$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.11	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers	64c	153.19$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.15	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Pistons	54c	140.41$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.82	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-12.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Pistons	14c	133$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.62	330	30.9%102 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons	51c	126$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.65	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Pistons	53c	120$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.6	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7970…eccabacked Pistons	54c	114.07$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aac…ecd6backed Pistons	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c7…c8fbbacked Pistons	53c	110.57$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	42cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Cavaliers	46c	109.96$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.91	274	50%137 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event