NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82aa4c3bd56422ff13b392b6a220ed16d9492e6c63efa4ea178094513152f817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Cavaliers | 70c | 39,235$27,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,771.27 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 32c | 36,808$11,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,912.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 40c | 13,198$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pistons | 43c | 11,934$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.46 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 55c | 11,410$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,120.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Cavaliers | 59c | 8,000$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.87 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 7,626$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Cavaliers | 24c | 6,666$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.59 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pistons | 46c | 3,537$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.61 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,270$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.82 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.06 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 64c | 2,711$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.47 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons | 36c | 2,564$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers | 58c | 2,361$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.71 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pistons | 32c | 2,191$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.02 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Pistons | 42c | 1,901$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 58c | 1,549$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.7 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pistons | 27c | 1,370$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.42 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,367$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.48 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa437…6d21backed Pistons | 1c | 1,193$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 1,055$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,045$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.14 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,028$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pistons | 75c | 1,016$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.69 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cavaliers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 881.95$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.06 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cavaliers | 56c | 881.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons | 27c | 861.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…d46bbacked Pistons | 80c | 845.86$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Cavaliers | 70c | 803.57$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 786.25$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65fc…c072backed Cavaliers | 73c | 747.05$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 36c | 672.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Cavaliers | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Cavaliers | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cavaliers | 56c | 557.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Pistons | 38c | 536.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.88 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cavaliers | 56c | 528.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers | 56c | 517.24$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Cavaliers | 21c | 500.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 21c | 436$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 23c | 429.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Pistons | 75c | 420$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Pistons | 6c | 405.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers | 65c | 315.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pistons | 15c | 299$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 298.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Pistons | 48c | 270$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…0f7bbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 244.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cavaliers | 22c | 223.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Pistons | 27c | 215.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pistons | 28c | 215$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Pistons | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Pistons | 61c | 177$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cavaliers | 28c | 167.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…69c0backed Pistons | 44c | 166.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…a5dcbacked Pistons | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pistons | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e81…5ad8backed Cavaliers | 21c | 146.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Pistons | 63c | 146.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Cavaliers | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pistons | 31c | 130.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…100bbacked Pistons | 15c | 130.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Cavaliers | 22c | 130$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Pistons | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…cc69backed Cavaliers | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Pistons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…db97backed Pistons | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Cavaliers | 57c | 90.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 89.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Pistons | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Cavaliers | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…da0dbacked Pistons | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Cavaliers | 60c | 76.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Pistons | 31c | 72.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Pistons | 62c | 70.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Pistons | 50c | 70.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Pistons | 44c | 68.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Pistons | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Pistons | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e619backed Pistons | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pistons | 79c | 59.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Pistons | 80c | 58.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…bf7abacked Pistons | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Pistons | 46c | 53.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 24c | 51.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pistons | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Cavaliers | 24c | 48.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Pistons | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…c143backed Pistons | 79c | 40.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Cavaliers | 57c | 40.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Cavaliers | 43c | 38.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.