TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24d5…cf40

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22.12
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.87
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$69.4
Will Everton win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$24.73
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$135.26
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$52.89
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.41
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$33.6
League of Legends: Team WE vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+65.6%+$69.31
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Team WEbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$144.78
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$32.11
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$71.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.06
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$31.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+34.1%+$68.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
Reds vs. Metsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.