Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d4e63ec7e76b88daed13c55a528b90380fc15bff0e3b3b7192e6090673fbfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $954,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $995,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $954,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 31c | 632,595$196,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,594.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 69c | 156,543$108,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,528.22 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 69c | 86,527$59,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,678.85 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 68c | 60,751$41,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,320.14 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 52,830$36,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,839.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 69c | 48,461$33,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,996.01 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 70c | 40,654$28,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,185.29 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 69c | 40,000$27,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,466.76 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 69c | 40,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 72c | 20,958$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,892.79 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 68c | 17,900$12,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 76c | 16,083$12,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.99 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 30c | 13,371$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 10,160$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 69c | 10,000$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed Yes | 32c | 9,062$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 69c | 7,998$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.39 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 7,961$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.37 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 29c | 7,107$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.16 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 7,061$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.08 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 29c | 6,389$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 72c | 5,975$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 75c | 5,922$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.52 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 32c | 5,153$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.19 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 70c | 5,026$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.81 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 28c | 4,850$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.66 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 72c | 4,689$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.65 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 72c | 4,030$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.4 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,794$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.24 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 72c | 3,492$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.85 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 71c | 3,286$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.18 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 69c | 3,200$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,898$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.97 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 71c | 2,730$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.13 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 70c | 2,727$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,649$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.34 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 32c | 2,615$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.59 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 2,379$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 2,050$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 28c | 1,946$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.37 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 31c | 1,900$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 33c | 1,835$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.45 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 71c | 1,661$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.69 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 56c | 1,543$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.02 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 26c | 1,499$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 18c | 1,456$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed No | 21c | 1,444$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Yes | 70c | 1,292$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 74c | 1,161$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.86 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 1c | 1,135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 77c | 1,130$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.07 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 71c | 1,125$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 53c | 1,039$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 69c | 999.72$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 71c | 938.44$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.44 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Yes | 40c | 908.1$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 878.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 20c | 858.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 70c | 829.11$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 70c | 747.95$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 74c | 700$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 22c | 638.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 32c | 623.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 619.25$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 612$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 36c | 584.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 31c | 583.87$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 30c | 579.63$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 31c | 575$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 72c | 553$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 11c | 512$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 70c | 475.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 27c | 464.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 48c | 452.64$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 40c | 399.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 73c | 375$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed No | 29c | 344.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 30c | 336.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…96d8backed No | 20c | 336.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 335.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 29c | 301.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.