TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7432…794b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT11937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.89
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$216.99
Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$256
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.79
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+199.8%+$367.7
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$566.67
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Everton win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$303.57
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+211.6%+$423.14
Will Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.21
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+43%+$700.89
Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,431.52
Will Newcastle vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.93
Will Manchester City vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$259
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+90%+$90
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.78
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+53%+$259.78
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Star Belgrade beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$54
Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$137.5
Will Bologna beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$172
Will the match between Juventus and Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$96
Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$325
Will the match between LOSC Lille and Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+49.2%+$627.79
Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$650
Will RB Leipzig beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$160
Will Aston Villa beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+150%+$180
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+163.2%+$372
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+37%+$942.82
Will the match between Monaco and Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$51
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Sturm Graz beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Will the match between Red Star Belgrade and Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Stade Brestois beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will the match between Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will the match between Sporting CP and Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Feyenoord beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$41.84
Will the match between Manchester City and Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+740.2%+$328.51
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$190.2
Will Lazio beat Ajax?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will FCSB beat Hoffenheim?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+126.8%+$979.25
Will Malmo FF beat Galatasaray?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$99
Will Twente beat Olympiacos?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Viktoria Plzen beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$132
Will the match between Slavia Praha and Fenerbahce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Fenerbahce beat Slavia Praha?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+334.8%+$100.43
Will the match between Real Sociedad and Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will AS Roma beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Malmo beat Ferencvaros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Bodo Glimt beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2024, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,005.12
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$62.55
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+54.6%+$683.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+89.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+279.6%+$279.63
Will OGC Nice vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.