Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb450d592c2fd6a9de1952f6a76467709d8af58ecf7425488b5ef1145d6da74ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 30c | 10,862$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.66 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 8,441$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.04 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 8,103$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.23 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 58c | 7,123$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 5,427$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.64 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 39c | 4,221$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.34 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 69c | 3,004$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 63c | 2,894$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.93 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 2,221$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.63 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,827$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 37c | 1,564$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.5 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed Yes | 55c | 1,179$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 67c | 1,027$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 41c | 991.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 42c | 940.57$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 26c | 900$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 41c | 817.74$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.92 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 71c | 727.07$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 59c | 524.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 40c | 495.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 439$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 405$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Yes | 76c | 387$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 28c | 259$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.14 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 176.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 62c | 160.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Yes | 41c | 156.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Yes | 40c | 122.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…02afbacked Yes | 31c | 94.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 75c | 91.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 35c | 74.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 22c | 55.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…c4e3backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…2dd0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 73c | 44.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 75c | 40.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 67c | 28.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…bed1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 62c | 21.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.