Premier League · resolved market
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c49e53b35cca9e0027555e380f457ba9dabc6af18015125a0ab36269a6b950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 67c | 2,439$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.64 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed No | 68c | 2,050$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 1,497$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.17 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,248$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 1,065$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.45 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 75c | 898.7$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.55 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 14c | 633.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.11 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 69c | 580.65$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 29c | 411.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 364$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 309.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 72c | 242.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 43c | 218.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 70c | 184.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 32c | 176.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 21c | 161.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 73c | 157.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 202 | 40.6%82 W · 120 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…1fc0backed No | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 31c | 117$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 69c | 104.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 433 | 62.4%270 W · 163 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 58c | 101.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…de3abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 98.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 835 | 59.3%495 W · 340 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…f962backed Yes | 23c | 87.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 74.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked No | 61c | 66.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 77c | 48.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 43.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…7f78backed Yes | 37c | 41.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 67c | 18.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.