TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a66…5b12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT14450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$14
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.19
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Twinsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Rangers vs. Metsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice vs. Charlottebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.36
Liberty vs. Bowling Greenbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
New Mexico vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UCLA vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Houston vs. Ricebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
South Florida vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fresno State vs. Oregon Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Texas State vs. UTSAbacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$29.37
Kansas vs. Missouribacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Baylor vs. SMUbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Virginia vs. North Carolina Statebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$12.49
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. UCLAbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$9.63
California vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Georgia Southern vs. Fresno Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jerry Rice Team vs. Louisianabacked Jerry Rice Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UTEP vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Temple vs. UMassbacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$15.91
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Northwestern vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10.74
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+120.4%+$24.09
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.