MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x432d428ae41560ad292836eb02d33e894e61459735d5a150fe034fc07c6bbbf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $658,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 380,598$163,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216,941.05 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Giants | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Giants | 57c | 64,850$36,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,964.5 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 46c | 40,576$18,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,575.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 57c | 36,994$21,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,086.33 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 57c | 36,960$21,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,066.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Giants | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 57c | 14,888$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,486.16 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 61c | 14,215$8,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,668.96 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Cardinals | 43c | 10,911$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.99 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Cardinals | 65c | 10,472$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Cardinals | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.98 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 54c | 9,735$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.89 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Giants | 58c | 9,123$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.09 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Cardinals | 43c | 8,010$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 57c | 7,300$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Giants | 57c | 6,788$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,869.16 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 42c | 6,725$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 25c | 6,015$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.31 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Giants | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 42c | 5,898$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.53 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Giants | 23c | 5,433$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.62 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 39c | 4,811$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 57c | 4,500$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.64 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Giants | 65c | 4,143$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cardinals | 52c | 3,827$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.93 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Giants | 57c | 3,767$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.27 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Giants | 33c | 3,307$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Giants | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 57c | 3,070$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Cardinals | 61c | 2,870$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.37 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 57c | 2,619$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.83 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals | 42c | 2,600$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.93 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cardinals | 43c | 2,436$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.27 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Giants | 58c | 2,300$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Giants | 58c | 2,241$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 61c | 2,082$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Giants | 22c | 1,662$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.35 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Giants | 57c | 1,571$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.33 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Giants | 51c | 1,499$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants | 35c | 1,444$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Cardinals | 76c | 1,140$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Giants | 40c | 1,136$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Giants | 57c | 1,065$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.05 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,022$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.15 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cardinals | 75c | 995.9$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cardinals | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Giants | 57c | 930$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.1 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Giants | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 33c | 852.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cardinals | 63c | 793.83$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.91 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Cardinals | 71c | 704.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Giants | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Giants | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Cardinals | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…97b9backed Giants | 58c | 690.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Giants | 38c | 668.45$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 36c | 665$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.05 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Giants | 38c | 654.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Giants | 57c | 638.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.03 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 41c | 619.21$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.34 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Giants | 65c | 607.42$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.82 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Giants | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 40c | 591.53$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Cardinals | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Giants | 46c | 544.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Cardinals | 64c | 522.93$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Giants | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…285dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Giants | 51c | 486.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Cardinals | 59c | 473.83$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Giants | 29c | 457.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 23c | 404.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Cardinals | 76c | 396.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Giants | 57c | 358.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 43c | 339.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Giants | 36c | 337.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked Giants | 63c | 325.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Giants | 56c | 315$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 35c | 314.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 36c | 312.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Giants | 20c | 306.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Giants | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…cf7fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9440…9481backed Giants | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 44c | 290.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 289.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Giants | 17c | 284.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Cardinals | 53c | 283.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Giants | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Giants | 59c | 266$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Giantsthis page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.