TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f05…c0b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$12,799.99
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,221.42
Rowe vs. Kobacked Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$218.59
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$474.3
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Wood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,941Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$3,898.38
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+200%+$842.8
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,968Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$24,968.34
Vera vs. Zahabibacked Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.41
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,752Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.7%+$4,080.17
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$3,050
Almeida vs. Aswell Jr.backed Aswell Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,560Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,753.42
Filho vs. Carpenterbacked Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,915.71
Santos vs. Chiassonbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,779.32
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,710Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$1,290
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,040
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$524.34
Noche UFC: Suarez vs. Lemosbacked Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.5
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,838Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$4,505.88
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,347Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+221.1%+$9,608.96
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Delijabacked Tybura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.96
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinovbacked Fakhretdinov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$745.17
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,872Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+91.6%+$4,464.05
UFC Fight Night: Nueraji vs. Crosbiebacked Crosbie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.02
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,353.27
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,121.3
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.45
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,621Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$5,907.31
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$4,665.5
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,510.27
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$4,106.37
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,216.74
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,007Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,006.76
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,900
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,418.2
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$78.99
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$715.9
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$33.95
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$4,499.94
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,686.25
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,860
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,641Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$2,921.24
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,700
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,903.95
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$402.81
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,320
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,348.28
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$4,200
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,800
Spread: GB (-7.5)backed GB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,055.84
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,600
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+166.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12,068Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+302.5%+$36,501.67
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.19
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,685.91
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,084.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+226.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+388%+$14,549.99
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$2,770.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.6%+$11,399.94
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,027Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$3,716.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$5,412.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$650.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.