Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Anna Kalinskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3082f662397416fb91faca5e78c5cff63ee6558d8db6e7eceaf7309594afb3fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sramkovaof Sramkova, Kalinskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kalinskaya | 74c | 2,466$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Sramkova | 24c | 1,775$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.33 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sramkova | 33c | 960.6$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.07 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sramkova | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kalinskaya | 66c | 690.7$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.98 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kalinskaya | 59c | 599.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.99 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sramkova | 45c | 444.7$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sramkova | 45c | 443.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Kalinskaya | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kalinskaya | 60c | 184.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 169$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 97.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Sramkova | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kalinskaya | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sramkova | 26c | 66.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Kalinskaya | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Kalinskaya | 51c | 60.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Kalinskaya | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Sramkova | 37c | 40.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kalinskaya | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.