TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Malott vs. Holland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Malottof Malott, Holland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$811,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$825,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfaa…2813backed Malott50c381,274$190,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,081.483036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Holland52c99,148$51,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,513.0735253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Holland50c75,814$37,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,907.166346%29 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Holland50c56,506$28,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,252.841877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+70.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Holland50c52,732$26,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,365.85149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Malott50c49,937$24,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,968.343961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Malott50c49,705$24,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,852.519544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Holland50c39,400$19,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,823.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Holland24c24,970$5,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,911.5214929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Holland50c21,462$10,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,730.916841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407a…d0d3backed Holland1c19,820$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Holland49c19,551$9,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,640.287841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Holland50c19,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5003327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Holland51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,14020954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Holland51c13,000$6,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,605.067656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Holland53c12,219$6,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,470.3229151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Malott50c10,003$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.33943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Holland52c9,683$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Holland18c7,478$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.8520139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Malott50c7,164$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,582.113234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Holland50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Malott49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.9630039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Holland51c6,676$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,404.9728143.1%121 W · 160 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Malott78c4,970$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.675253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Malott57c4,860$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.818145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Holland56c4,719$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.910522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Malott50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0004856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Malott50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00016951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Holland50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Malott54c3,405$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.065459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Malott44c3,100$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72326743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Malott50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Malott50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ba…9c04backed Holland51c2,965$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Malott50c2,884$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.435362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Malott49c2,768$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.873161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Malott50c2,675$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.2830964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb167…b2f9backed Holland63c2,618$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.382142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Malott49c2,500$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.996349.2%31 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Holland50c2,046$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.926451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Malott50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.055356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Malott74c2,000$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122564%16 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Malott50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00028849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3945…16d7backed Holland1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Holland6c1,992$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.181012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Malott54c1,801$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.7321554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Malott68c1,800$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2954056.7%306 W · 234 L-1.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Malott68c1,683$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.2321247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Malott50c1,499$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.5955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Malott51c1,395$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.045843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Malott54c1,377$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.525244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Malott61c1,363$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.8636745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Holland37c1,313$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.865435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Malott50c1,216$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6086334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Malott66c1,213$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.16462.5%40 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Malott48c1,112$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.5316247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Holland50c1,101$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.052060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Malott49c1,018$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.594748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd2…33b8backed Holland27c1,008$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Malott51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49025251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Malott50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…4060backed Holland1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Malott50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Malott49c946.33$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.633740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Malott60c935.27$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0713450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Holland51c804.63$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.363148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Malott53c802$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.1432545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Holland44c800.88$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed Holland4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Holland50c765$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Malott59c747.15$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3313650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Malott48c741.46$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5633253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf51b…35dcbacked Malott62c676.66$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.66560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Holland51c640$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.419531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Malott50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Holland51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30410651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Malott51c589.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.496155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Malott51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.246756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Malott65c529.96$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4826552.1%138 W · 127 L+23.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Malott52c503.13$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.453855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Malott50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25022661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Holland51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Malott50c499.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Holland52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Holland51c442.3$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.56448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Malott54c400$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18639959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Malott50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20013044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Holland63c395.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ae…30a5backed Holland51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Malott50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1261…4e88backed Holland51c347.84$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Malott58c328.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Malott54c326.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7213041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Holland48c325.3$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7656450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Holland50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Holland52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2c0a…291cbacked Holland53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Malott63c276.32$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.249164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Holland51c274.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1752252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Malott47c264.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2942042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.