TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x134a…9e42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
761
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 64 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT12649.2%62 W · 64 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.02
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,686Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$728.34
Will Mamdani say "Rent" or "Landlord" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+103.7%+$632.38
Will Mamdani say "People" 5+ times during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+50.8%+$171.8
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48,503Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+95.1%+$46,129.39
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111.6%+$3,598.39
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$270
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$7,610.26
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.97
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$59.94
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.26
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+93.4%+$772.85
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$83.85
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.37
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+254.6%+$359
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$458.92
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+85.7%+$81.53
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Mamdani" 3+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58%+$36.7
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+246.3%+$194.88
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Subway" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+147.5%+$248.08
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+80.2%+$462.75
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$91.75
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT7841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55,999.99
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,699.97
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,999.99
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$6,022.42
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$3,654.55
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,399.92
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25,063Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10,237
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35,500
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19,996.09
Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.27
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29,245.97
UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Mariscal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,182.71
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,935
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,827Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$4,828.31
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,920.29
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,740
Dulgarian vs. del Vallebacked Dulgarian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,808.25
Radtke vs. Frunzabacked Frunza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$429.06
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,254.79
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$53.93
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+178.9%+$4,810.47
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,254.25
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+203%+$3,340.53
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,640.28
Vera vs. Zahabibacked Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,616.23
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.73
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,278.93
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+267.7%+$1,504.74
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.67
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+332.4%+$5,658.24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$615.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,892.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$55,241.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$163,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$202,197.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17,959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,958.64
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28,577Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.1%+$66,603.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+678.2%+$21,609.03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,568Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+211.6%+$24,471.64
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$14,602.35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,136.06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$2,939.15
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,091.58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,200
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,748.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,790.82
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+242.4%+$30,440
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.1
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175,945.89
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,740
Will Simu Liu score in the 2026 Celebrity All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$602.64
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,940Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$9,199.8
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$650.87
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$26.88
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$117.6
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,050Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$4,949.95
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,700
Heat vs. Spursbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.15
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,344.73
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6,400
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70,831Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$39,551.96
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$3,400
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.37
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,827Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+131.3%+$8,967.04
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,158.72
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$182.55
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,522.59
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST5139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Cost of Living" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$44.17
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+130.9%+$73.14
Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.7%+$80.59
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.35
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68,189Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+50%+$34,063.88
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35,576Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$24,656.65
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+292.2%+$2,582.65
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20,065.3
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53,421Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+103.3%+$55,174.61
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47,439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+113.2%+$53,720.46
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.59
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$35,608.25
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,645.99
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42,864.03
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.12
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.12
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.76
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$5,046.28
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,371.1
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will Trump say "Cheat" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$16.64
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.13
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$44.71
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$852.76
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT4632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.44
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.68
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,040
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+88.1%+$2,764
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$375
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,254Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+101.4%+$7,353.5
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$227.33
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.95
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$35
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$648.79
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$651
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$102.14
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$272.11
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.94
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+298.3%+$1,855.82
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.26
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.89
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.88
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+35%+$395.37
Twins vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$231.06
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,680
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.86
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$35.58
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.68
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.98
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT3616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.19
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.1
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.76
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+810.9%+$336.5
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.76
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.95
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.64
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$67.61
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.51
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.38
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$155.4
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$545.91
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$499
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+179.7%+$51.4
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.97
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.11
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.52
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.13
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.07
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+69.2%+$105.81
Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.57
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST3633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$305.66
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$808.28
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+73.1%+$3,800
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10,079.82
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,180.91
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$191.1
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$181.41
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,284.08
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,964.53
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.84
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,652Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$970.33
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.32
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,139.97
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,935.93
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$8,700
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27,244.04
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,647.05
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,246Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$3,681.43
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$19,500
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,781Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$1,333.72
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,411.26
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24,170Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+130.5%+$31,530.38
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,021.33
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,055.12
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$192.83
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10,029.62
Will anyone say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$293.25
Will Zohran Mamdani say "ICE" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+153.6%+$107.2
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$216.88
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.59
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.43
Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+36%+$50.51
Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$145.53
Will fewer than 49 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53.77
Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$123.93
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,430Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+30.5%+$1,045.66
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+26.2%+$334.46
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$251.68
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$170.87
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37.72
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$82.93
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$65.7
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+79.2%+$713.93
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+71.2%+$234.92
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$56.85
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.58
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.9
Will Warsh say "Progress" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.57
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.16
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+105.3%+$6,471.77
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+360.8%+$12,019.81
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82%+$304.91
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,175
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,195.9
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$430.22
Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$88.39
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$338.07
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,835Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$658.24
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+272%+$681.2
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.05
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.21
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+129.4%+$188.91
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.44
Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.48
Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+98.8%+$288.03
Will Powell say "tariff" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+33.7%+$126
Will Jerome Powell say "growth" 10 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$54.26
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+156.4%+$78.08
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$456.29
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$7,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,706.86
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,347.11
Will Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.76
Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.84
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.18
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+76.9%+$66.95
Will Taylor Swift attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$71.24
Will 'Wicked' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$166.6
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$190.07
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+108.7%+$95.46
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+132.6%+$443.46
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+341.2%+$229.69
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+924.4%+$1,622.93
Will 'The Brutalist' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$14.28
Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$72.92
Will "Conclave" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+43.2%+$107.63
Will "The Substance" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.4
Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$233.34
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$94.85
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.02
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$77.07
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$83.67
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148.02
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$51.26
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$119
Will Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Elon Musk say "Crypto/Bitcoin/Doge" during the August 6 AMA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$58.89
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.59
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,177.19
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+52%+$68.4
Claude 4 released in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$1,281.89
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.18
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$13.68
Will Musk say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$169.87
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.08
Will Musk say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.15
Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Musk say "Tariff" 5+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.57
Will Musk say "Trump" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.7
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$192.53
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,622Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+68.6%+$3,854.07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+97.8%+$1,958.08
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,282.72
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34%+$151
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$48.67
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.65
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.63
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$562.49
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.5
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$715.69
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$1,662.79
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$301.87
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.26
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
Trump x Putin talk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$181.22
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,359.28
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+25%+$8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Illegal" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.65
Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$237.43
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+93.1%+$261.71
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+59%+$234.92
Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.7%+$132.97
Will Trump say "Border" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$62.21
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+120.2%+$579.01
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+27.8%+$588.3
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.4%+$104.6
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+357.1%+$1,879.51
Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.5%+$96.04
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,314.88
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.62
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130.71
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$399.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,535.43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,208.87
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$185,352.57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,162.26
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$86,399.82
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,779.59
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900.14
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,396.3
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,106.96
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,844.75
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,614.66
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48,198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,198.06
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$186,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$186,077.58
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,639.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+67.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4,910.46
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$13,733.73
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$30,598.43
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.75
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$19.6
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$19.02
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$372.27
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$600.9
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+304.4%+$1,639.14
Will Trump say "TikTok" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$34.38
Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$731.16
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+109.8%+$378.9
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+478.8%+$215.5
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$54.49
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.8%+$65.4
Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.74
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" 10+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.29
Will Taylor Swift say "Poet" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$59.85
Will Taylor Swift say "Album" 5+ times during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.5
Will Taylor Swift say "Eras Tour" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.52
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+284.6%+$63.64
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+82.9%+$54.25
Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+71.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+140.8%+$570.05
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$207
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$85.56
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy survive re-entry?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$47.78
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+54.9%+$100.07
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$206.89
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+900%+$135
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,313.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.76
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,355Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+40.1%+$3,347.93
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+160.4%+$12,440.84
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,717.73
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$49,571.49
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,378.39
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.46
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,025.32
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-76.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$510.2
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$197.68
South Carolina vs. Missouribacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.74
Texas Tech vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,559.61
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+123%+$1,636.51
Sam Houston vs. Western Kentuckybacked Sam Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,467.55
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+104.6%+$2,255.5
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+111.8%+$1,357.96
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.5
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.91
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.83
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Libertybacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.26
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,991.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$640
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$730.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$315
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.