TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$843,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$892,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 825 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc350…3669backed Raptors1c64,644$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.4414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…0d06backed Raptors35c51,297$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Rockets79c29,368$23,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.677149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Rockets68c29,086$19,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,409.7336148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Rockets67c25,260$16,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,388.2551350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Rockets68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4005942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Rockets65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.994050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576d…767dbacked Raptors32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors32c19,744$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,300.782,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors33c19,469$6,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,424.6366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors1c19,200$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors33c19,075$6,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,289.241,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors7c15,382$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Raptors30c15,272$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56526038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Rockets66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1f…c961backed Raptors34c13,300$4,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,522633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors2c11,520$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.391,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Raptors32c10,610$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.2946342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets68c10,327$7,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.6737557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Raptors33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Raptors32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9135235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Raptors34c9,607$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.5220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Rockets66c8,500$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.9951844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Rockets68c8,432$5,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.2514156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors32c7,584$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8185…aa29backed Raptors33c7,500$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Rockets76c7,469$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.462070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Rockets68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9416251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Raptors19c6,871$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.8847448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5491…ef09backed Rockets67c6,800$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Rockets68c6,618$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.657142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Raptors33c6,606$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1806155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff60…2bf3backed Rockets67c6,600$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Rockets68c6,243$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.245149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Raptors1c6,201$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.013345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Raptors14c6,065$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.2520034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Raptors1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Raptors24c5,787$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.147144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets68c5,222$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.5885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee1e…912ebacked Rockets67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Raptors33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Raptors32c4,993$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.0116962.1%105 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…f77abacked Raptors33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5787…7660backed Raptors34c4,412$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…b9febacked Rockets67c4,412$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Raptors32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2805556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Raptors32c3,822$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.026746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Rockets66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Raptors32c3,412$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.755346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Raptors2c3,195$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.048783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Rockets69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9302035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Raptors1c3,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Rockets67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Raptors33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd042…6b3fbacked Rockets74c2,930$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.61366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Rockets69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Raptors33c2,770$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.3771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors23c2,725$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.631,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rockets70c2,685$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.021,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors33c2,550$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dae…b2e1backed Rockets67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8254100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Raptors31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.999855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockets67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6609851%50 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Rockets67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Raptors32c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors1c1,999$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors17c1,961$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Rockets68c1,813$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors32c1,784$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a44…8c63backed Rockets68c1,735$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa440…a2d1backed Rockets77c1,690$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf6…ef18backed Rockets68c1,610$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Raptors31c1,538$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.784553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Rockets66c1,534$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2630053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors33c1,525$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Raptors33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Raptors27c1,501$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f78…37b3backed Raptors3c1,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Rockets67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.544850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets66c1,454$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0573647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Rockets67c1,454$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.971936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets66c1,427$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.3295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Raptors33c1,404$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.318345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8997…c3bdbacked Rockets68c1,397$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4661…9508backed Raptors33c1,379$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets66c1,356$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4534852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c72…9567backed Rockets69c1,297$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Raptors23c1,292$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Raptors21c1,250$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x850f…234abacked Rockets68c1,206$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors21c1,145$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.041,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets71c1,123$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.232,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Raptors28c1,105$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.374035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Rockets68c1,103$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.946448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f8…b76fbacked Raptors33c1,100$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.332860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rockets62c1,031$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8922243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors1c1,026$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.123,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Rockets69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Rockets66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Rockets67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.