TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc210…f0ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT6155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$423
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,370
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,577
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$2,650
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+122.8%+$1,918.76
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,398Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$1,348.88
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+70.9%+$1,843.37
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$1,451.33
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$68.71
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,860
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,277
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,999Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$1,479.08
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$1,131.43
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,672.73
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$2,444.29
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$8,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$8,100
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$3,689.68
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$2,206.45
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$6,679
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,990Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$6,510
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,823Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5,093.18
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST3246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,999
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,900
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,520
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,907
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$6,470.27
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$3,070.67
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+89.7%+$4,705.53
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,985Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$4,100.79
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+120.3%+$2,273.95
Sharks vs. Islandersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$730
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,900
Canucks vs. Penguinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$4,121.76
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,630
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$2,672.73
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,740Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$3,216.52
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$2,253.91
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$2,480.85
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,999
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+130.4%+$2,124.77
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,720
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,640
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,737.78
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,359
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,783
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,687Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$2,781.42
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$52.5
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,190
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$850
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,670
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+70.8%+$3,823.66
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,347.83
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$2,027.95
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,607
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,803
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,194.81
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,800
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,510
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,420Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$3,919.62
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$2,545.45
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,300
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$3,258.62
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,730
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,440
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$4,480
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10,999
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,506
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$2,170.6
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$2,897.47
New Mexico vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,500
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,063.64
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,950
SMU Mustangs vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$4,327.14
Rutgers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,990
UCLA vs. Indianabacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$258
USC vs. Notre Damebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$980
Penn State vs. Iowabacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.07
Oklahoma vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$4,748.78
Washington vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$805.12
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+84.9%+$4,201.89
Central Michigan vs. Bowlingbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$3,355.71
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,795.24
UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,930Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,121.72
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$860
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$708
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,805
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$3,812.31
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$2,216.67
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,623Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,623
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,720
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$497.14
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,700
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,360
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,260
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$4,413.06
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,450
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+154.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+36.1%+$789.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$76.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,333
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$988.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.