NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfa84050fb82289dacb391f804dd20ec9dbec8b72ac1fd8759679759b2683b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,224,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,260,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,224,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Commanders | 22c | 1,795,154$403,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403,004.38 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Commanders | 23c | 457,124$103,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,218.24 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Lions | 77c | 439,400$338,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,062 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lions | 78c | 300,923$233,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,402.96 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 78c | 210,526$164,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,286.1 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lions | 79c | 181,658$143,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,553.29 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Lions | 77c | 175,000$134,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,250 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lions | 78c | 155,197$120,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,895.4 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Commanders | 23c | 130,227$29,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,952.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…377ebacked Lions | 78c | 96,000$74,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Commanders | 20c | 92,427$18,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,909.64 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lions | 77c | 89,119$68,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,247.63 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lions | 77c | 80,000$61,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Commanders | 20c | 75,210$15,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,388.06 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 77c | 60,983$47,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,828.62 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Lions | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Lions | 78c | 47,000$36,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lions | 77c | 40,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lions | 78c | 38,426$29,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.26 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Lions | 78c | 33,179$25,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.36 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 79c | 32,233$25,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.25 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lions | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Commanders | 12c | 27,530$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed Lions | 79c | 25,316$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Lions | 79c | 24,000$18,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Commanders | 5c | 22,000$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lions | 80c | 21,510$17,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.29 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 78c | 21,052$16,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.3 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lions | 77c | 20,500$15,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lions | 77c | 20,353$15,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.35 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lions | 78c | 20,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lions | 80c | 18,921$15,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.01 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Lions | 77c | 16,000$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Lions | 78c | 16,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Lions | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Lions | 79c | 14,464$11,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Lions | 80c | 14,275$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Commanders | 21c | 13,743$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lions | 78c | 13,409$10,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.97 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Lions | 78c | 12,510$9,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.1 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Commanders | 3c | 12,372$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.46 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Lions | 78c | 11,690$9,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Commanders | 1c | 11,613$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Commanders | 1c | 11,579$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lions | 77c | 11,110$8,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Lions | 78c | 11,050$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Lions | 78c | 10,876$8,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Commanders | 19c | 10,206$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.12 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Commanders | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Lions | 78c | 9,500$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Commanders | 2c | 9,294$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Commanders | 1c | 8,803$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Commanders | 21c | 8,600$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.83 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Commanders | 7c | 8,207$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Commanders | 21c | 8,146$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.66 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lions | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.95 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lions | 79c | 7,776$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.07 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Lions | 79c | 7,766$6,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.86 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Lions | 78c | 7,500$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Commanders | 19c | 7,373$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.84 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Commanders | 0c | 7,004$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…5084backed Commanders | 0c | 6,920$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Commanders | 7c | 6,454$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.75 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Lions | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Lions | 79c | 6,013$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.93 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lions | 78c | 5,515$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.95 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Lions | 80c | 5,338$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lions | 77c | 5,186$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.62 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…b6d8backed Lions | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Commanders | 4c | 5,053$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Lions | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Lions | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Commanders | 14c | 4,803$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.72 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lions | 78c | 4,739$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.89 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Commanders | 6c | 4,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lions | 78c | 4,487$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.18 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…bc17backed Commanders | 1c | 4,016$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Commanders | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…92ccbacked Commanders | 21c | 3,670$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.7 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lions | 78c | 3,523$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.08 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Lions | 79c | 3,383$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.32 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Commanders | 4c | 3,316$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lions | 79c | 3,164$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.83 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Commanders | 2c | 3,129$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lions | 77c | 2,874$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.08 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Commanders | 7c | 2,825$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lions | 78c | 2,821$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Lions | 80c | 2,761$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.41 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lions | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Commanders | 20c | 2,320$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Commanders | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lions | 78c | 2,025$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Commanders | 9c | 2,024$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Commanders | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Commanders | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Commanders | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Lions | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Lions | 78c | 1,858$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Lions | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Commandersthis page
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5Over won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Lions vs. Commanders: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-9.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.