TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa117…a311

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,507.5
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$911.22
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$229
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.89
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,472.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,859.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$20.8
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.99
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,233.4
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,674Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,145.8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,296
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,172.12
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.84
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$800
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,337Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+28.4%+$662.67
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35,830
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,363.6
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$8,311.04
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19,446Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19,445.91
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,945.57
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,899Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,966.43
Warriors vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,534.96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17,691.58
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$122.5
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$45.5
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$97.5
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,880Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3,119.98
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,320
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.93
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$4,214.57
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13,978.62
Clippers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$7,649.87
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$7,350
Clippers vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,968Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$6,431.96
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,392Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+75.7%+$7,867.62
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$9,599.88
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19,597.55
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10,400
Spread: Heat (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$9,800
Bulls vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$5,075.81
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,099.97
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$4,799.99
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,101.33
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.2
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.57
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$175.51
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.26
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,755Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$525.2
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$768
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$262.4
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.25
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$345
Spread: England (-2.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$208
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$720
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116
Will Kazakhstan vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,066Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.6%+$3,678.53
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$532.01
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+155.1%+$1,216
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.2
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$60.8
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.2
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$54.6
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,698
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50,400
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,724Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$1,176
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30,030Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8,470
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$5,199.99
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$5,200
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,505
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36,660Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$10,340
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,669.14
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$574.77
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$2,640
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,921.14
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$939.99
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+34.7%+$4,080.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+300%+$150
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$704.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+142.1%+$2,077.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29,805.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,968Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+107.1%+$4,251.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rowe vs. Kobacked Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$1,700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$389.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$192
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28,911
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,974.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,128.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.