NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x991e9a8df82e79db3a313e2cc65c1158b1cdeb1cce1d1445b910726b1e879a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,762,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,906,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,762,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,057 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 44c | 224,450$99,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,950.73 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Timberwolves | 49c | 208,341$101,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,402.37 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed Nuggets | 62c | 141,276$87,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,174.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 107,632$49,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,124.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Timberwolves | 34c | 99,053$33,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,886.5 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 83,360$37,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,947.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 51c | 74,319$37,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,438.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 55,212$20,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,428.38 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 39c | 50,578$19,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,534.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 49c | 40,001$19,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,606.89 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,400 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 52c | 39,991$20,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,927.61 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 38,989$13,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,578.3 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 16c | 34,583$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.32 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Timberwolves | 55c | 33,000$18,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,029.98 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 10c | 32,522$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.51 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Nuggets | 57c | 28,390$16,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,118.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Nuggets | 69c | 27,105$18,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,507.5 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 26,906$11,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,438.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Timberwolves | 40c | 25,635$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 23,650$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Nuggets | 48c | 23,000$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,959.83 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…a2c8backed Timberwolves | 4c | 22,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 20,808$10,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195.91 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 50c | 19,758$9,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,879 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 50c | 19,751$9,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,867.58 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 49c | 19,155$9,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,417.73 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 52c | 18,061$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,697.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 18,000$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,239.98 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Timberwolves | 56c | 17,817$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Nuggets | 76c | 17,636$13,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.84 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 17,277$8,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,554.76 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.99 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…c443backed Timberwolves | 57c | 14,800$8,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,436 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…0ef2backed Nuggets | 43c | 14,800$6,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 31c | 14,327$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nuggets | 62c | 13,528$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.13 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 38c | 12,697$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 12,239$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.36 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Nuggets | 59c | 10,596$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,541$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.76 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 10,459$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 35c | 10,277$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 31c | 9,800$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.92 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 9,275$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 50c | 9,151$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Nuggets | 48c | 9,017$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.45 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 8,393$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.72 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Timberwolves | 5c | 8,193$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Nuggets | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,822$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 7,600$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 46c | 7,567$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.21 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 7,269$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.38 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9909…b90cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 6,650$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.13 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Timberwolves | 41c | 6,630$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.1 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Timberwolves | 32c | 6,516$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 37c | 6,264$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.65 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…f23abacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,127$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 45c | 6,125$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…ee79backed Timberwolves | 52c | 6,119$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nuggets | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…4bd4backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,967$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…495cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,960$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,953$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.14 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 44c | 5,888$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.89 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…a964backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,827$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 1c | 5,564$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…5963backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,288$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.91 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98c…8bfcbacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nuggets | 51c | 5,075$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.75 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 5,017$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.95 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…0943backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Nuggets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Timberwolves | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 5,000$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.23 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 4,940$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.02 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 4,866$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.51 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 4,818$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.12 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 4,700$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Timberwolves | 55c | 4,473$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.15 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Timberwolves | 33c | 4,200$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Nuggets | 41c | 4,111$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.73 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,034$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.84 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,019$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.76 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 4,000$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…4c71backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 3,932$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,769$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.73 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Nuggets | 68c | 3,725$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.92 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…38e5backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,700$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0999…016ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 3,670$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.57 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd17…ba18backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,667$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.