TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e82…752c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,400
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Olympics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 1,204 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,898.79
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$2,645.99
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$922.34
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,259.2
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$88.51
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,127.92
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,316.13
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.35
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,887.07
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,185.41
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48,930.13
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.59
Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386.82
Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.78
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,631Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12,136.02
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,261.9
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,503.8
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,048.19
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33,372Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$28,226.3
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$250.07
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19,102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$21,040.43
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.07
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,114.78
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,620.14
Showing 25 of 1,204 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT11754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41,190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$40,681.03
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Stormbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$1,569.36
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112,216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$64,151.53
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,003.21
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+113%+$3,030.98
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$8,045.4
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,820.5
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,921.69
Phoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575.65
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$1,142.34
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$3,996.05
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$3,755.96
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempobacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$1,156.41
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$517.52
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$18,593.15
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13,000
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,043.94
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+82%+$1,804
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$484.95
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12,114.8
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,775.36
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,403.65
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31,603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$23,415.52
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35,797Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$27,508.67
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+103%+$16,653.53
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+151.8%+$3,355.33
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3,761.66
Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$597.46
Will Andres Borregales win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$67.79
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.71
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$7,395.27
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,557Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.2%+$6,883.78
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,519.89
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64,609Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37,950.47
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,887.53
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13,250
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$7,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,800
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,050
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,200
Spread: Bills (-12.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$454.19
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+55.7%+$1,095.1
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$6,693.43
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31,384Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.1%+$13,839.61
Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$158.26
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,857.92
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,280.16
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,727.82
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,665Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$3,765.63
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25,324Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+87.8%+$22,233.33
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,209.47
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+93.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+133.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,699Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$8,799.61
ATP Washington D.C – Williams vs. Frech (W)backed Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+435.5%+$2,897.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19,040
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,510
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$25,080
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16,753Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5,004.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,352.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.