NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3478c81978340b28e8664c84623276c223a62dee71073de49bc246e2f1516c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,477,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,450,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,477,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 49c | 699,762$345,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354,079.87 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 51c | 350,000$178,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,500 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Lakers | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 47c | 141,625$66,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,061.51 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Lakers | 51c | 119,930$61,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,164.98 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 48c | 118,909$57,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,832.81 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 52c | 93,385$48,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,560 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 53c | 92,321$48,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,930.13 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 54c | 90,259$48,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,615.94 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Thunder | 48c | 85,430$41,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,423.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 52c | 73,475$38,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,057.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 51c | 68,818$35,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,097.36 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Thunder | 49c | 58,967$29,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,879.35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 49c | 43,760$21,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,457.68 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Lakers | 31c | 28,312$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.9 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Lakers | 50c | 19,585$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.75 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 50c | 12,914$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 48c | 12,733$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Lakers | 53c | 9,168$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 52c | 9,048$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.24 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 60c | 8,178$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lakers | 53c | 7,969$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.44 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 70c | 7,354$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers | 52c | 7,284$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.68 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Thunder | 69c | 6,488$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.17 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 48c | 6,251$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.47 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 65c | 5,924$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 47c | 5,357$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…b828backed Lakers | 52c | 5,286$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Thunder | 48c | 5,165$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.66 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.95 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 65c | 4,788$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.3 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 63c | 4,729$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.56 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Lakers | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Lakers | 53c | 4,373$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.74 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Lakers | 20c | 4,237$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.04 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Lakers | 53c | 4,023$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.93 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Lakers | 52c | 3,788$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Lakers | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.4 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Thunder | 48c | 3,229$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.07 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…cac8backed Lakers | 53c | 3,196$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Lakers | 6c | 2,860$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Lakers | 52c | 2,857$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.78 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,605$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.05 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Thunder | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lakers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,256$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Lakers | 52c | 2,026$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.48 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…9f3abacked Lakers | 53c | 2,017$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Lakers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Lakers | 53c | 1,980$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.54 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 49c | 1,974$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.55 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Lakers | 27c | 1,921$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.77 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 51c | 1,865$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Lakers | 52c | 1,836$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.69 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 54c | 1,750$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.5 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.34 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Lakers | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 67c | 1,485$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.07 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Lakers | 19c | 1,478$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.97 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 51c | 1,472$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.72 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Thunder | 48c | 1,468$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.35 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 52c | 1,360$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.05 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Lakers | 51c | 1,295$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.35 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Thunder | 50c | 1,290$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.05 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Thunder | 47c | 1,252$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.77 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 7c | 1,246$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…a3b6backed Lakers | 2c | 1,160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Thunder | 48c | 1,157$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Lakers | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Thunder | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Thunder | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lakers | 51c | 995.8$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.58 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Lakers | 5c | 988.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lakers | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Lakers | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 961.54$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Lakers | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Lakers | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Thunder | 66c | 947.5$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 52c | 937.36$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Lakers | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Lakers | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers | 53c | 874.62$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.55 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 67c | 822.94$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Lakers | 33c | 788.22$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.88 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Lakers | 53c | 777.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Thunder | 49c | 615.5$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 49c | 615.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.8 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Lakers | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.