NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df006923390474e5c675296b68396ace48d9ffb013d03472834db11988e0188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Lakers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,658,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,803,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,658,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 26c | 548,483$143,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,353.26 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 74c | 448,611$332,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,111.21 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 76c | 359,054$271,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,296.4 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 24c | 296,139$69,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,728.25 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers | 11c | 149,690$16,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,596.66 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Lakers | 3c | 134,546$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.07 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Thunder | 77c | 127,056$97,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,507.22 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Thunder | 80c | 120,000$95,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,159.94 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Thunder | 77c | 118,344$91,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,219.12 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Lakers | 1c | 100,015$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.04 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Lakers | 16c | 98,707$15,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,909.1 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 77c | 63,751$49,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,677.46 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Lakers | 23c | 60,700$14,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,186.94 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Thunder | 75c | 52,505$39,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,126.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 24c | 48,211$11,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570.53 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Lakers | 3c | 47,780$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.29 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Thunder | 76c | 34,496$26,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Lakers | 1c | 32,974$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers | 24c | 32,800$7,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,871.89 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers | 24c | 29,825$7,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,158 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Thunder | 77c | 25,616$19,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,891.58 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Thunder | 76c | 25,144$19,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.82 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…ff53backed Lakers | 21c | 23,732$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Lakers | 0c | 22,344$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 76c | 21,707$16,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 75c | 20,386$15,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.96 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 72c | 19,909$14,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.89 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Lakers | 24c | 19,703$4,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728.66 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…7067backed Thunder | 77c | 19,212$14,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Lakers | 7c | 18,677$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 24c | 18,028$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.92 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 17c | 16,135$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Lakers | 25c | 15,972$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Lakers | 15c | 15,413$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.13 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 76c | 15,290$11,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.22 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Lakers | 25c | 15,030$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.65 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 5c | 13,445$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.16 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Lakers | 18c | 12,999$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.27 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 23c | 12,520$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.51 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 10c | 12,287$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.4 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Lakers | 20c | 11,711$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.59 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Lakers | 23c | 11,470$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Lakers | 25c | 11,460$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 75c | 11,400$8,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.09 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers | 20c | 11,020$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.42 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Lakers | 7c | 10,471$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.62 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…8e9fbacked Thunder | 76c | 10,469$7,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 25c | 10,314$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.03 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…a860backed Lakers | 7c | 10,185$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.76 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Lakers | 23c | 10,050$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.5 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Lakers | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Lakers | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Thunder | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Lakers | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Thunder | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Thunder | 76c | 9,797$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.25 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…c9b3backed Lakers | 9c | 9,623$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Thunder | 71c | 9,416$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.08 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Thunder | 74c | 9,142$6,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.82 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 2c | 9,110$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Thunder | 76c | 9,062$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 75c | 8,974$6,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.49 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…039dbacked Lakers | 0c | 8,226$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Lakers | 24c | 8,199$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.85 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Thunder | 76c | 8,183$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.88 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…3a8abacked Lakers | 12c | 8,049$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Lakers | 24c | 7,953$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.8 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…b9ebbacked Lakers | 24c | 7,953$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 24c | 7,871$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Thunder | 79c | 7,848$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.73 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Thunder | 77c | 7,739$5,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Lakers | 25c | 7,640$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Lakers | 24c | 7,536$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lakers | 27c | 7,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Lakers | 16c | 7,491$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.56 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Lakers | 2c | 7,457$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers | 0c | 7,353$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Lakers | 24c | 7,158$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.92 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Lakers | 25c | 6,704$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.95 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Lakers | 24c | 6,500$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed Lakers | 25c | 6,494$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Lakers | 25c | 6,165$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Lakers | 9c | 6,157$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.08 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Lakers | 30c | 6,009$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.85 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Lakers | 24c | 5,965$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.6 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 76c | 5,931$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.91 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43be…5000backed Thunder | 77c | 5,917$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…39e9backed Lakers | 25c | 5,730$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked Lakers | 25c | 5,705$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.68 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Lakers | 2c | 5,704$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 17c | 5,324$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 16c | 5,289$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Lakers | 15c | 5,271$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.65 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…3517backed Lakers | 24c | 5,170$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Lakers | 21c | 5,146$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.6 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Thunder | 77c | 5,123$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +303.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Thunder | 72c | 5,067$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.45 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Lakers | 25c | 5,023$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.83 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.