NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a17e481054c03d94edc50e8a34812e22b03e7d3896fc7956a816746dc663ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 22,511$12,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 21,161$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733.85 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992a…5e34backed Under | 46c | 15,283$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,030.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.37 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 50c | 2,928$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 2,804$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 2,746$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.2 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 2,695$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.59 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 2,518$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.13 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 1,978$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.56 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Over | 55c | 1,230$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.13 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,008$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Over | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 52c | 795.91$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.04 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Over | 51c | 619.97$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 540.65$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.7 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 26c | 501.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 458.67$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…e3dbbacked Over | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 356.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 341.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 48c | 339.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 264.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Under | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 232.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 228.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 203.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 12c | 157.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 149.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 142.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 47c | 138.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 119.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 73c | 119.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 106.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Under | 46c | 86.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…a38dbacked Over | 66c | 74.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 68.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 53c | 68.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 68c | 59.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 51.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Over | 62c | 48.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 52c | 44.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…b834backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 42.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 36.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 38c | 30.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3ef8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 60c | 29.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 61c | 28.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Over | 54c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Over | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 54c | 26.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Over | 53c | 24.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 53c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 72c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 70c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.