TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c1d…1f8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
900
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT49249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 492 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$836Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,063.59
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.07
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$357.26
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.21
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$976.5
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$539.38
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.05
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$577.7
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$1,167.35
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$1,655.58
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.98
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$621.32
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$692.83
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$262.08
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.25
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.99
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$454.96
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$993.91
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$350.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$679.13
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$470.92
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$278.6
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$787.42
Showing 25 of 492 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT18453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.95
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.22
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$116.19
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$256.26
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.44
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.12
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$245.51
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$592.05
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.99
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$560.98
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$655.46
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.59
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.6
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+45%+$294.18
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.31
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.39
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,245.15
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$396.76
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.59
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$11.37
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT8047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$309.05
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$485.56
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.64
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.04
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$431.34
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.57
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$664.39
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$204.33
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.94
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+280.9%+$3,236.67
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.13
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.45
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.85
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,725.13
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.35
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$480.35
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$678.22
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,755Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,252.27
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$912.98
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.28
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)backed St. Louis City SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Toronto FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$25.17
Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$40.73
Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.07
Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$89.6
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.42
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.13
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.35
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.64
Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.64
CF Montréal vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.38
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Columbus Crew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.12
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Atlanta United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.83
Spread: New York Red Bulls (-1.5)backed New York Red Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.93
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+187.5%+$59.5
Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$110.05
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.12
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.27
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$85.11
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)backed Club Tijuana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.35
Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed FC Juárez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+48%+$139.57
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.84
EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.15
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.5
Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.03
CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+43%+$21.07
Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.77
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+91%+$164.18
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.97
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.82
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$46.53
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$19.02
Coritiba FBC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84.64
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.48
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed Atlante FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+60%+$92.02
Atlante FC vs. CF América: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.66
All 25 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$209.86
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.9
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$598.31
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$59.43
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Udinese Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.31
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$99.87
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.37
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.86
Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$86.18
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$107.93
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$176.74
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$421.13
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$92.27
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$127.67
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+80.7%+$77.99
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.23
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$107.91
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.17
All 20 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$55.72
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.1
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.12
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.19
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.3
Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)backed Beijing Guoan FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$175.01
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.59
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.12
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.33
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,928Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$1,158.74
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.75
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.94
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.05
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$101.82
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.08
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$92.3
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+82.3%+$486.05
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$83.83
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.43
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$23.8
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.