NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a71b0a1df6c11d3c885638cfaa2fa6b782f60bdb341210d2b4dbf20fc89ee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,493,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,470,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,493,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 54c | 463,682$251,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,391.87 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 47c | 246,685$116,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,535.41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 170,136$89,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,355.98 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 152,935$71,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,116.98 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 101,110$52,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,577.08 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,999.89 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 49c | 98,156$48,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,059.49 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 44c | 84,577$37,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,363.14 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Over | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 46c | 60,000$27,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,200 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,600 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 48c | 52,573$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,573.35 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 45,701$21,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,913.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 52c | 42,842$22,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,277.97 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 47c | 42,000$19,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,140 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 35,249$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.98 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 32,966$15,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,605.72 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 50c | 23,000$11,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,580 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 54c | 22,212$11,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,994.54 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 21,478$10,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,074.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 5c | 20,098$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.71 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.85 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.72 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 48c | 17,708$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,208.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…efa3backed Under | 48c | 16,104$7,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Under | 48c | 15,885$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,258.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 48c | 14,881$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 46c | 11,566$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.69 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 8,207$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 8,082$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 46c | 7,600$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 51c | 7,411$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…d98bbacked Under | 46c | 7,372$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 48c | 7,000$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.53 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 48c | 7,000$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.74 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 6,787$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 50c | 6,599$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.49 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 48c | 6,500$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.49 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 6,208$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.33 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 50c | 5,050$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 46c | 4,891$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.3 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 54c | 4,614$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…267abacked Over | 52c | 3,838$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 3,822$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.95 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 48c | 3,683$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.9 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 48c | 3,360$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 46c | 3,058$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.58 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 3,014$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 47c | 2,936$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.23 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 2,876$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.96 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,804$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 54c | 2,782$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.02 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,611$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.19 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 54c | 2,507$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.8 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 50c | 2,414$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.12 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 48c | 2,288$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.15 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 2,147$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.73 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 46c | 2,046$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.83 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 48c | 1,990$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.5 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Over | 7c | 1,977$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…01b4backed Under | 49c | 1,846$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 51c | 1,835$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.85 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…e5cbbacked Under | 47c | 1,636$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 1,584$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.29 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Over | 52c | 1,567$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…7d21backed Over | 51c | 1,541$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 46c | 1,493$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.05 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 1,376$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.46 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 1,375$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 48c | 1,375$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 51c | 1,308$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…f9d1backed Under | 47c | 1,144$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Under | 46c | 1,133$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…40bfbacked Under | 46c | 1,083$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.17 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 48c | 1,024$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.32 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 43c | 1,018$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…516abacked Over | 52c | 1,013$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.