TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,493,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,470,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,493,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d6…be17backed Over54c463,682$251,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,391.8710448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under47c246,685$116,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,535.415940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c170,136$89,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,355.9864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c152,935$71,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,116.9869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over52c101,110$52,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,577.0814538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,999.896445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under49c98,156$48,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,059.4917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under44c84,577$37,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,363.1426753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,60018651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under46c60,000$27,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,20014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,60025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under48c52,573$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,573.359945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c45,701$21,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,913.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over52c42,842$22,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,277.974951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under47c42,000$19,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,14045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c35,249$18,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,599.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c32,966$15,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,605.7255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over50c23,000$11,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,58034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over54c22,212$11,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,994.546045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c21,478$10,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,074.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over5c20,098$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.711,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.8549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under48c18,888$9,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,821.7215952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under48c17,708$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,208.333540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a7…efa3backed Under48c16,104$7,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,374.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a5bfbacked Under48c15,885$7,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,258.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6502166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c14,881$7,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,738.254042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over51c12,500$6,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,37510949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under46c11,566$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,245.692268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6002,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c8,207$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.272951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c8,082$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under46c7,600$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10449246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Over51c7,411$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.372850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa74…d98bbacked Under46c7,372$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under48c7,000$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.5323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under48c7,000$3,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.7486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c6,787$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.282,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under50c6,599$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.4920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under48c6,500$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.4965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under48c6,208$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.334951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under46c5,435$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.7818349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under50c5,050$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.492653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under46c4,891$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over54c4,614$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeef…267abacked Over52c3,838$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9961020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c3,822$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.9556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c3,683$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82016053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under48c3,360$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.423030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c3,058$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.5849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c3,014$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.962,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c2,936$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.2366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c2,876$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.9632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c2,804$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over54c2,782$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.027349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,611$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.191,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over54c2,507$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under50c2,414$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.1211137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under48c2,288$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.1510049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under48c2,222$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.4421446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c2,147$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.7362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c2,046$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.8316946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0207132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under48c1,990$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.568944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Over7c1,977$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.482138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26c2…01b4backed Under49c1,846$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over51c1,835$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.853275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfdb9…e5cbbacked Under47c1,636$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over51c1,584$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.2912857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75d…8fd4backed Over52c1,567$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f1…7d21backed Over51c1,541$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81060049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over46c1,493$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.0519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c1,376$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.4647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over52c1,375$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c1,375$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7153342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over51c1,308$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.232857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under47c1,144$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.141225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e93…439cbacked Under46c1,133$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…40bfbacked Under46c1,083$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under48c1,031$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.173641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under48c1,024$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.3217247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over43c1,018$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.741,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a9…516abacked Over52c1,013$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.