NBA · resolved market

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111f8404b16b853c75a3e01a0b2d06bd79b9cc1b1564d367c19c17df8dec3d84

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,429 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9c76…c926backed No	46c	1,966$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.69	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	43c	999.97$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.98	908	63.9%580 W · 328 L	+80.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Yes	57c	886.84$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.5	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No	46c	886.19$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.54	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes	55c	870.21$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	300	55.7%167 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No	42c	503.2$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.89	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Yes	54c	427.68$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.95	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes	54c	333.33$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	150	48%72 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes	49c	300.44$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.97	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes	61c	295.31$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.4	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf137…50b2backed Yes	56c	293.88$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.57	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	56cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No	46c	277.1$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.63	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No	43c	251.49$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.35	330	49.1%162 W · 168 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No	51c	250$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.5	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes	41c	245.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes	49c	240$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	256	57%146 W · 110 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Yes	58c	231.05$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked Yes	57c	226.9$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.46	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked No	46c	221.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.88	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes	54c	197.68$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.57	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce0f…07a3backed Yes	54c	184.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Yes	54c	184.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	258	50%129 W · 129 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes	55c	182.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No	45c	179.96$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.98	437	52.6%230 W · 207 L	+18.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Yes	57c	176.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.6wins	+0.24per pick	54cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes	58c	173.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed No	46c	159$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.86	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed No	45c	152$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.68	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Yes	55c	138.13$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.5	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Yes	55c	119$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Yes	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Yes	55c	109.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	145	57.2%83 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No	46c	107.81$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.81	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Yes	56c	107.24$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	37c	106.48$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.93	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No	52c	99.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	854	49.4%422 W · 432 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	48c	99.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.99	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e6…757abacked Yes	57c	99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.43	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No	47c	98.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.47	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Yes	52c	94.23$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+5.0wins	+0.22per pick	57cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes	55c	91.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-14.9wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes	55c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed No	54c	76.3$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.3	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ff…724abacked Yes	53c	75.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	45cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b0…fd60backed Yes	54c	70$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Yes	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	135	39.3%53 W · 82 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa06…74c3backed Yes	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	39c	59.87$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.33	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2572…bb08backed Yes	57c	58.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No	49c	54.67$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.97	188	53.7%101 W · 87 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Yes	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-4.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked No	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	400	48.3%193 W · 207 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	209	51.7%108 W · 101 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Yes	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked No	49c	44.45$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.76	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes	54c	42.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed No	47c	40.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	137	64.2%88 W · 49 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	35c	39.68$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.95	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	42c	33.17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.12	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No	46c	29.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.19	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x474f…8ec6backed Yes	54c	29.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed No	62c	29.37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be0…f903backed Yes	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…2135backed Yes	54c	22.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38e…ebfdbacked Yes	55c	22.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x118a…457ebacked Yes	55c	21.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a06…d8d6backed Yes	75c	20.06$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Yes	54c	18.92$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41c5…e210backed Yes	75c	18.59$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event